Russia · Premier League

Akhmat vs Baltika

Kick-off 12:00 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

36% confidence

Akhmat 35.8% Draw 32.0% Baltika 32.2%

Over 2.5 - 40% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 13.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Baltika: 4 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.3%

Exact-score model probability

Akhmat

L D L D D D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

Baltika

L W L W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Akhmat win35.8%

Draw32.0%

Baltika win32.2%

Over 1.5 goals68.1%

Over 2.5 goals39.7%

Over 3.5 goals19.6%

Both teams to score47.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

91.9%

Over 0.5 Goals

89.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

86.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)71.5%

Home or Draw (1X)66.1%

Draw or Away (X2)62.5%

Draw No Bet - Home52.5%

Draw No Bet - Away47.5%

Both Halves Over 0.545.7%

Goal in Both Halves45.7%

Home Win37.5%

Away Win33.9%

Draw28.5%

Exactly 1 Goal23.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.1%

Under 4.5 Goals91.9%

Over 0.5 Goals89.7%

Under 3.5 Goals80.4%

1-3 Goals70.2%

Over 1.5 Goals66.3%

Under 2.5 Goals60.3%

2-4 Goals58.2%

Total Goals Even50.5%

1-2 Goals50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

2-3 Goals46.8%

Over 2.5 Goals39.7%

Under 1.5 Goals33.7%

3-4 Goals31.6%

Exactly 2 Goals26.6%

Exactly 3 Goals20.2%

Over 3.5 Goals19.6%

4+ Goals19.6%

Under 0.5 Goals10.3%

Exactly 0 Goals10.3%

Over 4.5 Goals8.1%

Over 5.5 Goals2.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score69.1%

Away Team to Score66.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.1%

Home Clean Sheet33.3%

Away Clean Sheet30.9%

Home Win to Nil23.0%

Away Win to Nil20.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.569.1%

Away Over 0.566.7%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Home Exactly 136.3%

Away Exactly 033.3%

Home Over 1.532.8%

Home Exactly 030.9%

Away Over 1.530.1%

Home Exactly 221.3%

Away Exactly 220.2%

Home Over 2.511.5%

Home 3+ Goals11.5%

Away Over 2.510.0%

Away 3+ Goals10.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away94.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)66.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home66.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)62.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away62.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)37.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)33.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.7%

Home to win by 121.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.4%

Away to win by 120.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)15.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home15.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)13.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away13.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.7%

Home to win by 210.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.4%

Away to win by 29.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home5.1%

Home to win by 3+5.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.1%

Away to win by 3+4.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.547.0%

BTTS & Over 2.532.8%

Draw & Under 2.523.6%

Home & No BTTS23.0%

Away & No BTTS20.6%

Home & Under 2.519.2%

Home & Over 2.518.4%

Draw & BTTS18.3%

Away & Under 2.517.5%

Away & Over 2.516.4%

Home & BTTS14.6%

Away & BTTS13.3%

BTTS & Under 2.513.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.9%

Draw & Over 2.55.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.572.7%

HT Over 0.564.1%

HT Draw46.0%

2nd Half More Goals41.5%

HT Under 0.535.9%

1st Half More Goals30.2%

Equal Goals Each Half28.3%

HT Home Win28.1%

HT Over 1.527.3%

HT Away Win25.9%

HT/FT Home/Home21.6%

HT/FT Away/Away19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.8%

HT Both Teams Score16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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