Russia · Premier League

Akhmat vs Dinamo Makhachkala

Kick-off 12:30 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

39% confidence

Akhmat 34.2% Draw 26.6% Dinamo Makhachkala 39.2%

Over 2.5 - 60% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Dinamo Makhachkala: 4 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.8%

Exact-score model probability

Akhmat

L D L D D D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

Dinamo Makhachkala

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 12:6 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

Akhmat 0wins ·1 draws ·Dinamo Makhachkala 0wins

Akhmat 1-1 Dinamo MakhachkalaMay 10, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Akhmat win34.2%

Draw26.6%

Dinamo Makhachkala win39.2%

Over 1.5 goals83.1%

Over 2.5 goals60.1%

Over 3.5 goals37.8%

Both teams to score63.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.7%

Under 5.5 Goals

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)76.2%

Draw or Away (X2)64.4%

Both Halves Over 0.561.7%

Goal in Both Halves61.7%

Home or Draw (1X)59.4%

Draw No Bet - Away53.3%

Draw No Bet - Home46.7%

Away Win40.6%

Home Win35.6%

Draw23.8%

Exactly 1 Goal13.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.5%

Under 5.5 Goals90.5%

Over 1.5 Goals81.7%

Under 4.5 Goals79.6%

Under 3.5 Goals62.2%

2-4 Goals61.3%

Over 2.5 Goals60.1%

1-3 Goals57.8%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.9%

Under 2.5 Goals39.9%

3-4 Goals39.7%

Over 3.5 Goals37.8%

4+ Goals37.8%

1-2 Goals35.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.6%

Over 4.5 Goals20.4%

Under 1.5 Goals18.3%

Over 5.5 Goals9.5%

Under 0.5 Goals4.5%

Exactly 0 Goals4.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score80.1%

Home Team to Score77.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.8%

Away Clean Sheet22.4%

Home Clean Sheet19.9%

Away Win to Nil17.9%

Home Win to Nil15.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.580.1%

Home Over 0.577.6%

Away Over 1.547.9%

Home Over 1.544.1%

Home Exactly 133.5%

Away Exactly 132.1%

Away Exactly 225.9%

Home Exactly 225.1%

Home Exactly 022.4%

Away Over 2.522.0%

Away 3+ Goals22.0%

Away Exactly 019.9%

Home Over 2.519.1%

Home 3+ Goals19.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)64.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away64.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)59.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home59.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)40.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)35.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.2%

Away to win by 120.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 118.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.1%

Away to win by 212.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.5%

Home to win by 210.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.3%

Away to win by 3+8.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.4%

Home to win by 3+6.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.551.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.529.1%

Away & Over 2.527.6%

Home & Over 2.524.0%

Away & BTTS22.7%

Home & BTTS20.2%

Draw & BTTS19.3%

Away & No BTTS17.9%

Home & No BTTS15.5%

Draw & Under 2.515.2%

Away & Under 2.513.0%

Home & Under 2.511.7%

BTTS & Under 2.510.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.58.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.3%

HT Under 1.559.2%

2nd Half More Goals45.0%

HT Over 1.540.8%

HT Draw38.3%

HT Away Win32.4%

1st Half More Goals31.5%

HT Home Win29.3%

HT Both Teams Score25.3%

HT Under 0.524.7%

HT/FT Away/Away24.5%

Equal Goals Each Half23.5%

HT/FT Home/Home21.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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