Russia · Premier League

Akhmat vs FC Rostov

Kick-off 16:00 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Akhmat 33.3% Draw 25.6% FC Rostov 41.1%

Over 2.5 - 64% BTTS - 66%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to FC Rostov: 4 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10%

Exact-score model probability

Akhmat

L D L D D D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

FC Rostov

D D W L L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Akhmat win33.3%

Draw25.6%

FC Rostov win41.1%

Over 1.5 goals85.4%

Over 2.5 goals63.9%

Over 3.5 goals41.8%

Both teams to score66.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.4%

Under 5.5 Goals

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.0%

Draw or Away (X2)65.3%

Both Halves Over 0.564.7%

Goal in Both Halves64.7%

Home or Draw (1X)57.6%

Draw No Bet - Away55.0%

Draw No Bet - Home45.0%

Away Win42.4%

Home Win34.6%

Draw23.0%

Exactly 1 Goal12.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.3%

Under 5.5 Goals88.4%

Over 1.5 Goals84.1%

Under 4.5 Goals76.4%

Over 2.5 Goals63.9%

2-4 Goals60.4%

Under 3.5 Goals58.2%

1-3 Goals54.5%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals42.2%

Over 3.5 Goals41.8%

4+ Goals41.8%

3-4 Goals40.3%

Under 2.5 Goals36.1%

1-2 Goals32.4%

Over 4.5 Goals23.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Exactly 2 Goals20.1%

Under 1.5 Goals15.9%

Over 5.5 Goals11.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.7%

Exactly 0 Goals3.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score82.4%

Home Team to Score78.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.0%

Away Clean Sheet21.1%

Home Clean Sheet17.6%

Away Win to Nil17.4%

Home Win to Nil13.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.582.4%

Home Over 0.578.9%

Away Over 1.551.9%

Home Over 1.546.0%

Home Exactly 132.8%

Away Exactly 130.6%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Home Exactly 225.5%

Away Over 2.525.3%

Away 3+ Goals25.3%

Home Exactly 021.1%

Home Over 2.520.5%

Home 3+ Goals20.5%

Away Exactly 017.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.1%

Away to win by 120.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 118.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.7%

Away to win by 212.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.2%

Home to win by 210.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.5%

Away to win by 3+9.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.5%

Home to win by 3+6.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.555.0%

Away & Over 2.530.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.0%

Away & BTTS25.0%

Home & Over 2.524.4%

Home & BTTS20.8%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Away & No BTTS17.4%

Home & No BTTS13.9%

Draw & Under 2.513.7%

Away & Under 2.512.1%

Home & Under 2.510.3%

BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

Draw & Over 2.59.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.3%

HT Under 1.556.4%

2nd Half More Goals45.6%

HT Over 1.543.6%

HT Draw37.0%

HT Away Win34.0%

1st Half More Goals31.7%

HT Home Win29.1%

HT Both Teams Score27.3%

HT/FT Away/Away25.9%

HT Under 0.522.7%

Equal Goals Each Half22.7%

HT/FT Home/Home20.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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