Russia · Premier League

Akhmat vs Krylia Sovetov

Kick-off 18:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Akhmat 44.1% Draw 38.9% Krylia Sovetov 17.0%

Over 2.5 - 18% BTTS - 25%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 23.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Krylia Sovetov: 4 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

23.6%

Exact-score model probability

Akhmat

L D L D D D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

Krylia Sovetov

D L L D D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Akhmat win44.1%

Draw38.9%

Krylia Sovetov win17.0%

Over 1.5 goals43.8%

Over 2.5 goals17.8%

Over 3.5 goals5.9%

Both teams to score25.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Under 1.5

86.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

82.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

82.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)81.5%

Draw No Bet - Home71.1%

Home or Away (12)64.0%

Draw or Away (X2)54.5%

Home Win45.5%

Draw36.0%

Exactly 1 Goal34.1%

Draw No Bet - Away28.9%

Both Halves Over 0.526.2%

Goal in Both Halves26.2%

Away Win18.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.6%

Under 4.5 Goals98.4%

Under 3.5 Goals94.1%

Under 2.5 Goals82.2%

Over 0.5 Goals76.4%

1-3 Goals70.5%

1-2 Goals58.7%

Under 1.5 Goals57.6%

Total Goals Even52.8%

Total Goals Odd47.2%

Over 1.5 Goals42.4%

2-4 Goals40.8%

2-3 Goals36.5%

Exactly 2 Goals24.6%

Under 0.5 Goals23.6%

Exactly 0 Goals23.6%

Over 2.5 Goals17.8%

3-4 Goals16.2%

Exactly 3 Goals11.9%

Over 3.5 Goals5.9%

4+ Goals5.9%

Over 4.5 Goals1.6%

Over 5.5 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)76.1%

Home Team to Score61.4%

Home Clean Sheet61.1%

Away Team to Score38.9%

Away Clean Sheet38.6%

Home Win to Nil37.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)23.9%

Away Win to Nil15.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.561.4%

Away Exactly 061.1%

Away Over 0.538.9%

Home Exactly 038.6%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 130.1%

Home Over 1.524.7%

Home Exactly 217.5%

Away Over 1.58.8%

Away Exactly 27.4%

Home Over 2.57.2%

Home 3+ Goals7.2%

Away Over 2.51.4%

Away 3+ Goals1.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)54.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away54.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)45.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw28.1%

Home to win by 128.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home17.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 114.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.5%

Home to win by 212.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.9%

Home to win by 3+4.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.3%

Away to win by 23.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.571.2%

Home & No BTTS37.5%

Draw & Under 2.534.6%

Home & Under 2.533.1%

Away & No BTTS15.0%

Away & Under 2.514.5%

BTTS & Over 2.512.8%

Home & Over 2.512.4%

Draw & BTTS12.4%

BTTS & Under 2.511.1%

Home & BTTS8.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.9%

Away & Over 2.54.0%

Away & BTTS3.5%

Draw & Over 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.586.1%

HT Draw57.3%

HT Under 0.552.2%

HT Over 0.547.8%

Equal Goals Each Half37.4%

2nd Half More Goals35.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw29.7%

HT Home Win29.2%

1st Half More Goals27.0%

HT/FT Home/Home25.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.0%

HT Over 1.513.9%

HT Away Win13.6%

HT/FT Away/Away9.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.6%

HT Both Teams Score6.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Away/Home1.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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