Russia · Premier League

Akhmat vs Rodina Moskva

Kick-off 14:30 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

79% confidence

Akhmat 79.4% Draw 11.8% Rodina Moskva 8.8%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.3%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.3%

Exact-score model probability

Akhmat

D L D L D D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

Rodina Moskva

L D W L L

Form 1-1-3 Goals 7:14 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 2.8

📈 Probability Breakdown

Akhmat win79.4%

Draw11.8%

Rodina Moskva win8.8%

Over 1.5 goals96.4%

Over 2.5 goals87.6%

Over 3.5 goals73.6%

Both teams to score72.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

Draw No Bet - Home

89.7%

HT Over 0.5

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home89.7%

Home or Draw (1X)89.5%

Home or Away (12)87.8%

Both Halves Over 0.584.0%

Goal in Both Halves84.0%

Home Win78.8%

Draw or Away (X2)19.9%

Draw10.8%

Draw No Bet - Away10.3%

Away Win9.1%

Exactly 1 Goal3.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.0%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals86.4%

Over 3.5 Goals72.6%

4+ Goals72.6%

Under 5.5 Goals62.4%

Over 4.5 Goals55.1%

Total Goals Odd49.3%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Under 4.5 Goals44.9%

2-4 Goals39.5%

Over 5.5 Goals37.6%

3-4 Goals31.3%

Under 3.5 Goals27.4%

1-3 Goals25.4%

2-3 Goals22.1%

Exactly 3 Goals13.9%

Under 2.5 Goals13.6%

1-2 Goals11.5%

Exactly 2 Goals8.3%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.2%

Away Team to Score72.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.3%

Home Clean Sheet26.1%

Home Win to Nil25.4%

Away Clean Sheet2.5%

Away Win to Nil1.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.2%

Home Over 1.587.0%

Away Over 0.572.5%

Home Over 2.570.1%

Home 3+ Goals70.1%

Away Over 1.537.8%

Away Exactly 134.7%

Away Exactly 026.1%

Away Exactly 223.1%

Home Exactly 216.9%

Away Over 2.514.8%

Away 3+ Goals14.8%

Home Exactly 19.1%

Home Exactly 02.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)83.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away83.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)78.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)70.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away70.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)62.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home62.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)53.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away53.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)44.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home44.8%

Home to win by 3+44.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)35.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away35.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)28.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home28.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away19.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.2%

Home to win by 218.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.8%

Home to win by 115.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)15.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home15.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw5.7%

Away to win by 15.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.3%

Away to win by 22.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.571.9%

BTTS & Over 2.567.5%

Home & BTTS53.3%

Home & No BTTS25.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.9%

Draw & BTTS10.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.0%

Away & Over 2.57.6%

Away & BTTS7.3%

Home & Under 2.56.9%

Draw & Over 2.56.9%

Draw & Under 2.53.9%

BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Away & No BTTS1.8%

Away & Under 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.6%

HT Over 1.566.1%

HT Home Win63.4%

HT/FT Home/Home59.2%

2nd Half More Goals49.7%

HT Both Teams Score36.5%

HT Under 1.533.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw23.6%

Equal Goals Each Half17.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.0%

HT Away Win13.0%

HT Under 0.510.4%

HT/FT Away/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.9%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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