Russia · Premier League

Akron vs Akhmat

Kick-off 16:30 · Thu, Sep 17

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Akron 13.1% Draw 32.8% Akhmat 54.1%

Over 2.5 - 25% BTTS - 29%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

87%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 22%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Akhmat: 3 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

22%

Exact-score model probability

Akron

D D D L L L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 4:11 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.83

Akhmat

L D L D D D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Akron win13.1%

Draw32.8%

Akhmat win54.1%

Over 1.5 goals53.3%

Over 2.5 goals25.3%

Over 3.5 goals9.9%

Both teams to score29.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.7%

Under 3.5 Goals

90.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)85.5%

Draw No Bet - Away79.3%

Home or Away (12)70.0%

Away Win55.5%

Home or Draw (1X)44.5%

Both Halves Over 0.533.4%

Goal in Both Halves33.4%

Exactly 1 Goal30.6%

Draw30.0%

Draw No Bet - Home20.7%

Home Win14.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.1%

Under 4.5 Goals96.8%

Under 3.5 Goals90.1%

Over 0.5 Goals82.4%

Under 2.5 Goals74.7%

1-3 Goals72.5%

1-2 Goals57.1%

Over 1.5 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Even51.5%

2-4 Goals48.7%

Total Goals Odd48.5%

Under 1.5 Goals48.1%

2-3 Goals42.0%

Exactly 2 Goals26.6%

Over 2.5 Goals25.3%

3-4 Goals22.1%

Under 0.5 Goals17.6%

Exactly 0 Goals17.6%

Exactly 3 Goals15.4%

Over 3.5 Goals9.9%

4+ Goals9.9%

Over 4.5 Goals3.2%

Over 5.5 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)72.4%

Away Team to Score71.4%

Away Clean Sheet61.4%

Away Win to Nil43.8%

Home Team to Score38.6%

Home Clean Sheet28.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)27.6%

Home Win to Nil11.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.571.4%

Home Exactly 061.4%

Home Over 0.538.6%

Away Exactly 135.8%

Away Over 1.535.6%

Home Exactly 130.0%

Away Exactly 028.6%

Away Exactly 222.4%

Away Over 2.513.2%

Away 3+ Goals13.2%

Home Over 1.58.7%

Home Exactly 27.3%

Home Over 2.51.3%

Home 3+ Goals1.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away85.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)73.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home73.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)55.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)44.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home44.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw29.4%

Away to win by 129.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.8%

Away to win by 216.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)14.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.5%

Home to win by 111.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.3%

Away to win by 3+9.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.6%

Home to win by 22.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.4%

Home to win by 3+0.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.564.0%

Away & No BTTS43.8%

Away & Under 2.535.7%

Draw & Under 2.528.3%

Away & Over 2.519.8%

BTTS & Over 2.516.8%

Draw & BTTS12.5%

Away & BTTS11.7%

Home & No BTTS11.1%

Home & Under 2.510.7%

BTTS & Under 2.510.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.5%

Home & Over 2.53.8%

Home & BTTS3.4%

Draw & Over 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.581.5%

HT Over 0.554.3%

HT Draw51.6%

HT Under 0.545.7%

2nd Half More Goals38.1%

HT Away Win36.5%

Equal Goals Each Half33.4%

HT/FT Away/Away32.9%

1st Half More Goals28.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw23.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away21.3%

HT Over 1.518.5%

HT Home Win11.9%

HT Both Teams Score8.5%

HT/FT Home/Home7.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.3%

HT/FT Away/Home0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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