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Russia · Premier League

Akron vs CSKA Moscow

Kick-off 16:00 · Fri, Aug 28
📊 Our Prediction
Away +4.5 (Handicap)
82% confidence
Akron 4.7% Draw 13.3% CSKA Moscow 82.0%
Over 2.5 - 66% BTTS - 43%
🎯 Best Pick
Draw or Away (X2)
Double chance from Poisson
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
95%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Over 1.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
86%
Away Win
Strongest 1X2 probability
82%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 13.1%, based on the goal model.
Double chance from Poisson
Recent form leans to CSKA Moscow: 3 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.
Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
0-2
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
13.1%
Exact-score model probability
Akron
D D D L L L
Form 0-3-3 Goals 4:11 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.83
CSKA Moscow
W D D W W W
Form 4-2-0 Goals 9:4 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Akron win4.7%
Draw13.3%
CSKA Moscow win82.0%
Over 1.5 goals86.0%
Over 2.5 goals65.9%
Over 3.5 goals44.0%
Both teams to score43.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)
89.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home
89.2%
Home or Away (12)
88.0%
Match Result (11)
Draw or Away (X2)94.3%
Draw No Bet - Away93.8%
Home or Away (12)88.0%
Away Win82.6%
Both Halves Over 0.566.2%
Goal in Both Halves66.2%
Home or Draw (1X)17.2%
Draw11.8%
Exactly 1 Goal11.4%
Draw No Bet - Home6.2%
Home Win5.4%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals96.4%
Under 5.5 Goals87.3%
Over 1.5 Goals85.0%
Under 4.5 Goals74.7%
Over 2.5 Goals65.7%
2-4 Goals59.7%
Under 3.5 Goals56.1%
1-3 Goals52.5%
Total Goals Even50.0%
Total Goals Odd49.8%
Over 3.5 Goals43.9%
4+ Goals43.9%
2-3 Goals41.2%
3-4 Goals40.4%
Under 2.5 Goals34.3%
1-2 Goals30.7%
Over 4.5 Goals25.3%
Exactly 3 Goals21.9%
Exactly 2 Goals19.3%
Under 1.5 Goals15.0%
Over 5.5 Goals12.7%
Under 0.5 Goals3.6%
Exactly 0 Goals3.3%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score93.7%
No Both Teams Score (NG)57.8%
Away Clean Sheet54.9%
Away Win to Nil51.5%
Home Team to Score44.9%
Both Teams Score (GG)42.2%
Home Clean Sheet6.1%
Home Win to Nil2.7%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.593.7%
Away Over 1.576.6%
Home Exactly 054.9%
Away Over 2.552.8%
Away 3+ Goals52.8%
Home Over 0.544.9%
Home Exactly 132.8%
Away Exactly 223.8%
Away Exactly 117.0%
Home Over 1.512.1%
Home Exactly 29.8%
Away Exactly 06.1%
Home Over 2.52.3%
Home 3+ Goals2.3%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.6%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.5%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.5%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)95.5%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)94.3%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away94.3%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)89.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home89.2%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)82.6%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)77.4%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home77.4%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)62.8%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away62.8%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)59.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home59.1%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)40.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away40.7%
Away to win by 3+40.7%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)36.9%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home36.9%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)22.4%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away22.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw22.1%
Away to win by 222.1%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.7%
Away to win by 119.7%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw18.3%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)17.2%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home17.2%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw11.9%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)10.5%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away10.5%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.3%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)5.4%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.2%
Home to win by 14.2%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.2%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.0%
Home to win by 21.0%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.2%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%
Home to win by 3+0.2%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%
Combos (15)
Away & Over 2.560.1%
Away & No BTTS51.5%
BTTS & Over 2.536.6%
Away & BTTS31.0%
No BTTS & Over 2.529.2%
No BTTS & Under 2.528.4%
Away & Under 2.522.5%
Draw & Under 2.58.9%
Draw & BTTS8.4%
BTTS & Under 2.55.6%
Home & Over 2.52.8%
Draw & Over 2.52.8%
Home & BTTS2.7%
Home & No BTTS2.7%
Home & Under 2.52.6%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.578.3%
HT Away Win62.5%
HT/FT Away/Away59.8%
HT Under 1.554.8%
2nd Half More Goals45.9%
HT Over 1.545.2%
1st Half More Goals31.8%
HT Draw29.7%
Equal Goals Each Half22.3%
HT Under 0.521.7%
HT/FT Draw/Away20.2%
HT Both Teams Score16.9%
HT Home Win7.8%
HT/FT Draw/Draw7.2%
HT/FT Home/Home2.8%
HT/FT Home/Away2.7%
HT/FT Away/Draw2.3%
HT/FT Home/Draw2.3%
HT/FT Draw/Home2.2%
HT/FT Away/Home0.4%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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