Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha

Kick-off 19:00 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

94% confidence

Al-Ahli Jeddah 93.7% Draw 4.7% Abha 1.6%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 9.7%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.7%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Ahli Jeddah

W W W W W L

Form 5-0-1 Goals 14:4 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Abha

Form 0-0-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Ahli Jeddah win93.7%

Draw4.7%

Abha win1.6%

Over 1.5 goals96.6%

Over 2.5 goals88.4%

Over 3.5 goals74.7%

Both teams to score48.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

91.9%

Home Win

90.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

90.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home98.2%

Home or Draw (1X)94.3%

Home or Away (12)91.9%

Home Win90.2%

Both Halves Over 0.585.0%

Goal in Both Halves85.0%

Draw or Away (X2)5.8%

Draw4.1%

Exactly 1 Goal2.9%

Draw No Bet - Away1.8%

Away Win1.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.4%

Over 1.5 Goals92.5%

Over 2.5 Goals84.8%

Over 3.5 Goals71.7%

4+ Goals71.7%

Under 5.5 Goals62.7%

Over 4.5 Goals54.8%

Total Goals Even48.2%

Total Goals Odd47.8%

Under 4.5 Goals45.2%

2-4 Goals37.7%

Over 5.5 Goals37.3%

3-4 Goals30.0%

Under 3.5 Goals28.3%

1-3 Goals23.7%

2-3 Goals20.7%

Under 2.5 Goals15.2%

Exactly 3 Goals13.1%

1-2 Goals10.6%

Exactly 2 Goals7.6%

Under 1.5 Goals7.5%

Under 0.5 Goals4.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.8%

Home Clean Sheet49.3%

Home Win to Nil48.7%

Away Team to Score46.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.2%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Exactly 049.3%

Away Over 0.546.7%

Away Exactly 132.9%

Away Over 1.513.9%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 211.0%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Away Over 2.52.9%

Away 3+ Goals2.9%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)90.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)81.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home81.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)77.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)67.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home67.1%

Home to win by 3+67.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)63.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away63.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)49.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home49.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)46.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away46.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)32.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home32.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)28.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away28.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)18.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home18.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw17.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away14.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw14.2%

Home to win by 214.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.9%

Home to win by 18.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away5.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw1.3%

Away to win by 11.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.3%

Away to win by 20.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.581.9%

Home & No BTTS48.7%

BTTS & Over 2.544.5%

Home & BTTS41.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.540.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.4%

Home & Under 2.58.3%

Draw & BTTS3.5%

Draw & Under 2.52.3%

Draw & Over 2.51.8%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Away & Over 2.51.2%

Away & BTTS1.2%

Away & Under 2.50.5%

Away & No BTTS0.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.2%

HT Home Win78.8%

HT/FT Home/Home77.5%

HT Over 1.567.5%

2nd Half More Goals49.9%

HT Under 1.532.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score22.5%

Equal Goals Each Half17.6%

HT Draw16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.9%

HT Under 0.59.8%

HT Away Win4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.0%

HT/FT Away/Away0.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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