Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Hazm

Kick-off 19:00 · Fri, Sep 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

94% confidence

Al-Ahli Jeddah 94.3% Draw 4.4% Al-Hazm 1.3%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 45%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

94%

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 98.7% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 1.3% on the only losing outcome.

Strongest 1X2 probability

Recent form leans to Al-Ahli Jeddah: 12 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

98.7%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

1.3%

Only the uncovered result loses

Al-Ahli Jeddah

W L L W W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 14:7 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Al-Hazm

D W W L D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Ahli Jeddah win94.3%

Draw4.4%

Al-Hazm win1.3%

Over 1.5 goals96.4%

Over 2.5 goals87.9%

Over 3.5 goals73.9%

Both teams to score45.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Win

90.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

Home Over 1.5

89.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home98.4%

Home or Draw (1X)94.5%

Home or Away (12)92.2%

Home Win90.7%

Both Halves Over 0.584.5%

Goal in Both Halves84.5%

Draw or Away (X2)5.2%

Draw3.8%

Exactly 1 Goal3.1%

Draw No Bet - Away1.6%

Away Win1.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.4%

Over 1.5 Goals92.3%

Over 2.5 Goals84.4%

Over 3.5 Goals70.9%

4+ Goals70.9%

Under 5.5 Goals63.8%

Over 4.5 Goals53.7%

Total Goals Even48.2%

Total Goals Odd47.7%

Under 4.5 Goals46.3%

2-4 Goals38.5%

Over 5.5 Goals36.2%

3-4 Goals30.6%

Under 3.5 Goals29.1%

1-3 Goals24.5%

2-3 Goals21.4%

Under 2.5 Goals15.6%

Exactly 3 Goals13.5%

1-2 Goals11.0%

Exactly 2 Goals7.9%

Under 1.5 Goals7.7%

Under 0.5 Goals4.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)57.0%

Home Clean Sheet52.5%

Home Win to Nil51.9%

Away Team to Score43.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)43.0%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Exactly 052.5%

Away Over 0.543.5%

Away Exactly 131.7%

Away Over 1.511.8%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Exactly 29.6%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Away Over 2.52.3%

Away 3+ Goals2.3%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)90.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)82.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home82.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)77.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)68.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home68.2%

Home to win by 3+68.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)62.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away62.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)50.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home50.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)45.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away45.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)33.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home33.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)27.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away27.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)18.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home18.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw17.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw14.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.0%

Home to win by 214.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)13.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away13.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.6%

Home to win by 18.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away5.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw1.1%

Away to win by 11.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.3%

Away to win by 20.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.581.9%

Home & No BTTS51.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.543.0%

BTTS & Over 2.541.4%

Home & BTTS38.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.0%

Home & Under 2.58.9%

Draw & BTTS3.2%

Draw & Under 2.52.3%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Draw & Over 2.51.5%

Away & Over 2.51.0%

Away & BTTS0.9%

Away & Under 2.50.5%

Away & No BTTS0.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.9%

HT Home Win79.5%

HT/FT Home/Home78.4%

HT Over 1.566.8%

2nd Half More Goals49.7%

HT Under 1.533.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score20.7%

Equal Goals Each Half17.7%

HT Draw16.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.8%

HT Under 0.510.1%

HT Away Win4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.9%

HT/FT Away/Away0.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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