Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat

Kick-off 19:00 · Thu, Oct 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

96% confidence

Al-Ahli Jeddah 96.0% Draw 3.3% Al Khaleej Saihat 0.7%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 33%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

67%

Home Clean Sheet

Poisson P(away scores 0)

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 12.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Ahli Jeddah: 12 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.6%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Ahli Jeddah

W L L W W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 14:7 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Al Khaleej Saihat

D L L D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 3:13 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 1

Al-Ahli Jeddah 1wins ·0 draws ·Al Khaleej Saihat 0wins

Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-1 Al Khaleej SaihatMay 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Ahli Jeddah win96.0%

Draw3.3%

Al Khaleej Saihat win0.7%

Over 1.5 goals95.6%

Over 2.5 goals86.2%

Over 3.5 goals71.0%

Both teams to score33.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.6%

Home Over 1.5

89.9%

HT Over 0.5

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home99.1%

Home or Draw (1X)95.2%

Home or Away (12)93.1%

Home Win92.3%

Both Halves Over 0.583.0%

Goal in Both Halves83.0%

Draw or Away (X2)3.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.6%

Draw2.9%

Draw No Bet - Away0.9%

Away Win0.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.2%

Over 1.5 Goals91.6%

Over 2.5 Goals82.7%

Over 3.5 Goals68.1%

4+ Goals68.1%

Under 5.5 Goals67.3%

Over 4.5 Goals50.3%

Under 4.5 Goals49.7%

Total Goals Even48.3%

Total Goals Odd47.6%

2-4 Goals41.3%

Over 5.5 Goals32.7%

3-4 Goals32.4%

Under 3.5 Goals31.9%

1-3 Goals27.1%

2-3 Goals23.5%

Under 2.5 Goals17.3%

Exactly 3 Goals14.6%

1-2 Goals12.5%

Exactly 2 Goals8.9%

Under 1.5 Goals8.4%

Under 0.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)68.3%

Home Clean Sheet63.9%

Home Win to Nil63.1%

Away Team to Score32.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)31.7%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Exactly 063.9%

Away Over 0.532.1%

Away Exactly 126.0%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Over 1.56.1%

Away Exactly 25.3%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Away Over 2.50.8%

Away 3+ Goals0.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)92.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home84.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)75.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)71.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home71.6%

Home to win by 3+71.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)59.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away59.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)54.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home54.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)41.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away41.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)36.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home36.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)24.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away24.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)20.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home20.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw18.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw15.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.2%

Home to win by 213.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away11.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw7.5%

Home to win by 17.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away3.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw0.7%

Away to win by 10.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 20.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.581.5%

Home & No BTTS63.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.552.3%

BTTS & Over 2.530.4%

Home & BTTS29.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

Home & Under 2.510.8%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

Draw & BTTS2.1%

BTTS & Under 2.51.4%

Draw & Over 2.50.8%

Away & Over 2.50.4%

Away & Under 2.50.4%

Away & BTTS0.4%

Away & No BTTS0.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.0%

HT Home Win81.9%

HT/FT Home/Home81.2%

HT Over 1.564.7%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Under 1.535.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

Equal Goals Each Half18.1%

HT Draw15.5%

HT Both Teams Score14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.4%

HT Under 0.511.0%

HT Away Win2.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Away/Home1.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.6%

HT/FT Away/Away0.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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