Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Diriyah vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Kick-off 19:00 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

60% confidence

Al Diriyah 20.0% Draw 20.5% Al-Ahli Jeddah 59.5%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 70%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.9%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.9%

Exact-score model probability

Al Diriyah

No recent results stored yet

Al-Ahli Jeddah

W W W W L

Form 4-0-1 Goals 13:4 Scored/game 2.6 Conceded/game 0.8

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Diriyah win20.0%

Draw20.5%

Al-Ahli Jeddah win59.5%

Over 1.5 goals90.9%

Over 2.5 goals74.4%

Over 3.5 goals54.2%

Both teams to score70.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.4%

Away Over 0.5

91.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.3%

Draw or Away (X2)79.0%

Draw No Bet - Away74.2%

Both Halves Over 0.572.8%

Goal in Both Halves72.8%

Away Win60.4%

Home or Draw (1X)39.5%

Draw No Bet - Home25.8%

Home Win20.9%

Draw18.6%

Exactly 1 Goal8.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals89.8%

Under 5.5 Goals80.4%

Over 2.5 Goals74.3%

Under 4.5 Goals65.3%

2-4 Goals55.1%

Over 3.5 Goals54.2%

4+ Goals54.2%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals45.8%

1-3 Goals43.6%

3-4 Goals39.6%

2-3 Goals35.6%

Over 4.5 Goals34.7%

Under 2.5 Goals25.7%

1-2 Goals23.5%

Exactly 3 Goals20.1%

Over 5.5 Goals19.6%

Exactly 2 Goals15.5%

Under 1.5 Goals10.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score91.4%

Home Team to Score75.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.8%

Away Clean Sheet24.2%

Away Win to Nil22.2%

Home Clean Sheet8.5%

Home Win to Nil6.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.591.4%

Home Over 0.575.7%

Away Over 1.570.4%

Away Over 2.544.6%

Away 3+ Goals44.6%

Home Over 1.541.4%

Home Exactly 134.3%

Away Exactly 225.8%

Home Exactly 224.3%

Home Exactly 024.2%

Away Exactly 121.0%

Home Over 2.517.0%

Home 3+ Goals17.0%

Away Exactly 08.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)89.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home89.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)79.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away79.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)78.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home78.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)60.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home60.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)60.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)39.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home39.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)39.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away39.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)21.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away21.8%

Away to win by 3+21.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)20.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.9%

Away to win by 120.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.6%

Away to win by 217.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.0%

Home to win by 112.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away10.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.8%

Home to win by 25.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.1%

Home to win by 3+3.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.562.0%

Away & Over 2.549.0%

Away & BTTS38.2%

Away & No BTTS22.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.4%

Draw & BTTS16.5%

Home & Over 2.515.9%

Home & BTTS14.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.3%

Away & Under 2.511.3%

Draw & Over 2.59.3%

Draw & Under 2.59.3%

BTTS & Under 2.57.2%

Home & No BTTS6.4%

Home & Under 2.55.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.6%

HT Over 1.552.1%

HT Under 1.547.9%

2nd Half More Goals47.2%

HT Away Win46.8%

HT/FT Away/Away40.0%

HT Draw32.1%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Both Teams Score31.6%

HT Home Win21.1%

Equal Goals Each Half20.7%

HT Under 0.517.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.2%

HT/FT Home/Home12.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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