Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood

Kick-off 19:00 · Wed, Aug 26

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

60% confidence

Al Diriyah 18.8% Draw 59.9% Al Kholood 21.3%

Over 2.5 - 3% BTTS - 8%

🎯 Best Pick

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

86%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 53.1%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

53.1%

Exact-score model probability

Al Diriyah

Form 0-0-1 Goals 0:1 Scored/game 0 Conceded/game 1

Al Kholood

D D L D D D

Form 0-5-1 Goals 2:5 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Diriyah win18.8%

Draw59.9%

Al Kholood win21.3%

Over 1.5 goals14.0%

Over 2.5 goals2.7%

Over 3.5 goals0.4%

Both teams to score8.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

No BTTS & Under 2.5

92.0%

Under 1.5 Goals

86.7%

Draw or Away (X2)

80.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)80.5%

Home or Draw (1X)78.0%

Draw58.5%

Draw No Bet - Away53.0%

Draw No Bet - Home47.0%

Home or Away (12)41.5%

Exactly 1 Goal33.6%

Away Win22.0%

Home Win19.5%

Both Halves Over 0.57.3%

Goal in Both Halves7.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals100.0%

Under 4.5 Goals99.9%

Under 3.5 Goals99.6%

Under 2.5 Goals97.3%

Under 1.5 Goals86.7%

Total Goals Even64.1%

Under 0.5 Goals53.1%

Exactly 0 Goals53.1%

Over 0.5 Goals46.9%

1-3 Goals46.5%

1-2 Goals44.3%

Total Goals Odd35.9%

Over 1.5 Goals13.3%

2-4 Goals13.2%

2-3 Goals12.9%

Exactly 2 Goals10.6%

Over 2.5 Goals2.7%

3-4 Goals2.6%

Exactly 3 Goals2.2%

Over 3.5 Goals0.4%

4+ Goals0.4%

Over 4.5 Goals0.1%

Over 5.5 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)92.7%

Away Clean Sheet74.1%

Home Clean Sheet71.7%

Away Team to Score28.3%

Home Team to Score25.9%

Away Win to Nil21.0%

Home Win to Nil18.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)7.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 074.1%

Away Exactly 071.7%

Away Over 0.528.3%

Home Over 0.525.9%

Away Exactly 123.9%

Home Exactly 122.2%

Away Over 1.54.5%

Away Exactly 24.0%

Home Over 1.53.7%

Home Exactly 23.3%

Away Over 2.50.5%

Away 3+ Goals0.5%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)80.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away80.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)19.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.6%

Away to win by 118.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 23.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.5%

Home to win by 22.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Home to win by 3+0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.592.0%

Draw & Under 2.558.4%

Away & No BTTS21.0%

Away & Under 2.520.6%

Home & No BTTS18.6%

Home & Under 2.518.3%

Draw & BTTS5.4%

BTTS & Under 2.55.3%

BTTS & Over 2.52.0%

Away & Over 2.51.4%

Home & Over 2.51.2%

Away & BTTS1.0%

Home & BTTS0.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.50.6%

Draw & Over 2.50.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.596.6%

HT Draw76.7%

HT Under 0.575.2%

Equal Goals Each Half58.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw55.8%

HT Over 0.524.8%

2nd Half More Goals23.2%

1st Half More Goals18.3%

HT Away Win12.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.1%

HT Home Win11.0%

HT/FT Away/Away10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.9%

HT/FT Home/Home9.5%

HT Over 1.53.4%

HT Both Teams Score1.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.4%

HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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