Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Diriyah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC

Kick-off 19:00 · Thu, Sep 3

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

62% confidence

Al Diriyah 16.3% Draw 21.6% Al-Qadisiyah FC 62.1%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 61%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

84%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

62%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Qadisiyah FC: 4 points versus 18 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.8%

Exact-score model probability

Al Diriyah

W D L

Form 1-1-1 Goals 4:2 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Al-Qadisiyah FC

W W W W W W

Form 6-0-0 Goals 19:4 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Diriyah win16.3%

Draw21.6%

Al-Qadisiyah FC win62.1%

Over 1.5 goals85.8%

Over 2.5 goals64.9%

Over 3.5 goals42.9%

Both teams to score60.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

90.2%

Away Team to Score

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)82.5%

Home or Away (12)80.6%

Draw No Bet - Away78.3%

Both Halves Over 0.565.4%

Goal in Both Halves65.4%

Away Win63.2%

Home or Draw (1X)36.8%

Draw No Bet - Home21.7%

Draw19.3%

Home Win17.5%

Exactly 1 Goal11.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.4%

Under 5.5 Goals87.8%

Over 1.5 Goals84.6%

Under 4.5 Goals75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals64.9%

2-4 Goals60.1%

Under 3.5 Goals57.1%

1-3 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals42.9%

4+ Goals42.9%

2-3 Goals41.7%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals35.1%

1-2 Goals31.6%

Over 4.5 Goals24.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Exactly 2 Goals19.7%

Under 1.5 Goals15.4%

Over 5.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.6%

Exactly 0 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score89.3%

Home Team to Score66.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.4%

Away Clean Sheet33.3%

Away Win to Nil29.8%

Home Clean Sheet10.6%

Home Win to Nil7.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.589.3%

Home Over 0.566.6%

Away Over 1.565.5%

Away Over 2.538.9%

Away 3+ Goals38.9%

Home Exactly 136.6%

Home Exactly 033.3%

Home Over 1.530.0%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 123.8%

Home Exactly 220.1%

Away Exactly 010.6%

Home Over 2.59.9%

Home 3+ Goals9.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)82.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away82.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home78.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)63.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)59.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home59.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)40.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away40.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)36.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home36.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.7%

Away to win by 122.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away21.6%

Away to win by 3+21.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.9%

Away to win by 218.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)17.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.1%

Home to win by 111.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.5%

Home to win by 24.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.8%

Home to win by 3+1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.550.9%

Away & Over 2.546.3%

Away & BTTS33.4%

Away & No BTTS29.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.526.4%

Away & Under 2.516.8%

Draw & BTTS15.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.0%

Draw & Under 2.512.2%

Home & Over 2.511.4%

Home & BTTS10.4%

BTTS & Under 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.57.1%

Home & No BTTS7.1%

Home & Under 2.56.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.577.8%

HT Under 1.555.6%

HT Away Win47.5%

2nd Half More Goals45.7%

HT Over 1.544.4%

HT/FT Away/Away41.7%

HT Draw34.8%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score24.8%

Equal Goals Each Half22.5%

HT Under 0.522.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.0%

HT Home Win17.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.5%

HT/FT Home/Home9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Home1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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