Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon

Kick-off 19:00 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

Al Diriyah 68.3% Draw 20.1% Al Taawon 11.6%

Over 2.5 - 62% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

84%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 11.1%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Al Diriyah: 7 points versus 5 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.1%

Exact-score model probability

Al Diriyah

W W D L

Form 2-1-1 Goals 6:3 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.75

Al Taawon

D L D L W L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Diriyah win68.3%

Draw20.1%

Al Taawon win11.6%

Over 1.5 goals83.6%

Over 2.5 goals61.5%

Over 3.5 goals39.2%

Both teams to score53.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

89.9%

Home Over 0.5

89.9%

Under 5.5 Goals

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)87.2%

Draw No Bet - Home84.5%

Home or Away (12)82.0%

Home Win69.3%

Both Halves Over 0.562.8%

Goal in Both Halves62.8%

Draw or Away (X2)30.6%

Draw17.9%

Draw No Bet - Away15.5%

Exactly 1 Goal13.3%

Away Win12.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Under 5.5 Goals89.8%

Over 1.5 Goals82.5%

Under 4.5 Goals78.6%

Over 2.5 Goals61.4%

2-4 Goals61.1%

Under 3.5 Goals60.9%

1-3 Goals56.6%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.4%

3-4 Goals40.0%

Over 3.5 Goals39.1%

4+ Goals39.1%

Under 2.5 Goals38.6%

1-2 Goals34.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals21.4%

Exactly 2 Goals21.1%

Under 1.5 Goals17.5%

Over 5.5 Goals10.2%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

Exactly 0 Goals4.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.9%

Away Team to Score58.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)47.6%

Home Clean Sheet41.7%

Home Win to Nil37.5%

Away Clean Sheet10.0%

Away Win to Nil5.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.9%

Home Over 1.566.9%

Away Over 0.558.3%

Away Exactly 041.7%

Home Over 2.540.3%

Home 3+ Goals40.3%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Home Exactly 226.5%

Home Exactly 123.1%

Away Over 1.521.8%

Away Exactly 215.9%

Home Exactly 010.0%

Away Over 2.55.9%

Away 3+ Goals5.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)74.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away74.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)69.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)53.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away53.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)30.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away30.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)25.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home25.6%

Home to win by 3+25.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.1%

Home to win by 123.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.6%

Home to win by 220.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.8%

Away to win by 18.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 23.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.548.7%

BTTS & Over 2.544.0%

Home & No BTTS37.5%

Home & BTTS31.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.1%

Home & Under 2.520.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.4%

Draw & BTTS13.7%

Draw & Under 2.512.6%

BTTS & Under 2.58.4%

Away & Over 2.57.5%

Away & BTTS6.9%

Away & No BTTS5.8%

Draw & Over 2.55.3%

Away & Under 2.55.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.576.0%

HT Under 1.558.2%

HT Home Win51.3%

HT/FT Home/Home46.6%

2nd Half More Goals45.2%

HT Over 1.541.8%

HT Draw34.8%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Under 0.524.0%

Equal Goals Each Half23.2%

HT Both Teams Score21.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.5%

HT Away Win13.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.4%

HT/FT Away/Away6.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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