Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Ettifaq vs Al Diriyah

Kick-off 19:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

67% confidence

Al-Ettifaq 67.2% Draw 20.6% Al Diriyah 12.2%

Over 2.5 - 61% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

83%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 11%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Ettifaq

L W D L W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 13:9 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Al Diriyah

D L

Form 0-1-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Ettifaq win67.2%

Draw20.6%

Al Diriyah win12.2%

Over 1.5 goals83.3%

Over 2.5 goals60.8%

Over 3.5 goals38.5%

Both teams to score53.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

90.1%

Home Team to Score

89.5%

Home Over 0.5

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.7%

Draw No Bet - Home83.7%

Home or Away (12)81.6%

Home Win68.3%

Both Halves Over 0.562.3%

Goal in Both Halves62.3%

Draw or Away (X2)31.6%

Draw18.3%

Draw No Bet - Away16.3%

Exactly 1 Goal13.5%

Away Win13.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Under 5.5 Goals90.1%

Over 1.5 Goals82.1%

Under 4.5 Goals79.1%

Under 3.5 Goals61.5%

2-4 Goals61.2%

Over 2.5 Goals60.8%

1-3 Goals57.2%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals43.6%

3-4 Goals39.9%

Under 2.5 Goals39.2%

Over 3.5 Goals38.5%

4+ Goals38.5%

1-2 Goals34.8%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Exactly 2 Goals21.3%

Over 4.5 Goals20.9%

Under 1.5 Goals17.9%

Over 5.5 Goals9.9%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 0 Goals4.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.5%

Away Team to Score58.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)47.4%

Home Clean Sheet41.2%

Home Win to Nil36.9%

Away Clean Sheet10.4%

Away Win to Nil6.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.5%

Home Over 1.565.9%

Away Over 0.558.7%

Away Exactly 041.2%

Home Over 2.539.2%

Home 3+ Goals39.2%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 123.6%

Away Over 1.522.2%

Away Exactly 216.2%

Home Exactly 010.4%

Away Over 2.56.1%

Away 3+ Goals6.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)75.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away75.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)54.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away54.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)45.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home45.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)24.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home24.6%

Home to win by 3+24.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.3%

Home to win by 123.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.4%

Home to win by 220.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)13.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.1%

Away to win by 19.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.1%

Away to win by 23.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.547.6%

BTTS & Over 2.544.0%

Home & No BTTS36.9%

Home & BTTS31.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.530.5%

Home & Under 2.520.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.8%

Draw & BTTS14.0%

Draw & Under 2.512.9%

BTTS & Under 2.58.6%

Away & Over 2.57.8%

Away & BTTS7.1%

Away & No BTTS6.1%

Away & Under 2.55.5%

Draw & Over 2.55.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.575.7%

HT Under 1.558.7%

HT Home Win50.5%

HT/FT Home/Home45.7%

2nd Half More Goals45.1%

HT Over 1.541.3%

HT Draw35.2%

1st Half More Goals31.6%

HT Under 0.524.3%

Equal Goals Each Half23.4%

HT Both Teams Score21.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.4%

HT Away Win14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.6%

HT/FT Away/Away7.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions