Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly FC

Kick-off 16:30 · Tue, Sep 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

77% confidence

Al-Ettifaq 76.8% Draw 11.4% Al-Faisaly FC 11.8%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 84%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

89%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 5.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Ettifaq: 7 points versus 1 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.5%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Ettifaq

W L L W D L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 9:12 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

Al-Faisaly FC

D L L

Form 0-1-2 Goals 3:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Ettifaq win76.8%

Draw11.4%

Al-Faisaly FC win11.8%

Over 1.5 goals98.7%

Over 2.5 goals94.4%

Over 3.5 goals86.0%

Both teams to score84.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.7%

Over 2.5 Goals

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.7%

Goal in Both Halves90.7%

Draw No Bet - Home86.5%

Home or Away (12)86.3%

Home or Draw (1X)85.3%

Home Win74.6%

Draw or Away (X2)22.2%

Draw No Bet - Away13.5%

Away Win11.6%

Draw10.6%

Exactly 1 Goal1.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.7%

Over 1.5 Goals95.4%

Over 2.5 Goals91.4%

Over 3.5 Goals83.3%

4+ Goals83.3%

Over 4.5 Goals70.7%

Over 5.5 Goals55.2%

Total Goals Even48.5%

Total Goals Odd48.4%

Under 5.5 Goals44.8%

Under 4.5 Goals29.3%

2-4 Goals24.7%

3-4 Goals20.7%

Under 3.5 Goals16.7%

1-3 Goals13.4%

2-3 Goals12.1%

Under 2.5 Goals8.6%

Exactly 3 Goals8.1%

1-2 Goals5.2%

Under 1.5 Goals4.6%

Exactly 2 Goals4.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.5%

Away Team to Score82.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.8%

Home Clean Sheet14.5%

Home Win to Nil14.3%

Away Clean Sheet1.4%

Away Win to Nil1.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.5%

Home Over 1.589.6%

Away Over 0.582.4%

Home Over 2.576.9%

Home 3+ Goals76.9%

Away Over 1.554.8%

Away Over 2.528.6%

Away 3+ Goals28.6%

Away Exactly 127.6%

Away Exactly 226.2%

Away Exactly 014.5%

Home Exactly 212.7%

Home Exactly 15.9%

Home Exactly 01.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)89.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home85.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)80.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away80.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)68.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away68.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)60.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home60.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)53.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away53.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)43.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home43.9%

Home to win by 3+43.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)36.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away36.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)28.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home28.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)22.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away22.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 216.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)16.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home16.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.5%

Home to win by 114.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.4%

Away to win by 16.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.2%

Away to win by 23.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.0%

Away to win by 3+2.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.5%

Home & Over 2.571.9%

Home & BTTS60.3%

Home & No BTTS14.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.9%

Away & Over 2.510.9%

Away & BTTS10.5%

Draw & BTTS10.4%

Draw & Over 2.58.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.53.8%

Home & Under 2.52.8%

Draw & Under 2.51.9%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Away & No BTTS1.2%

Away & Under 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.8%

HT Over 1.576.5%

HT Home Win62.5%

HT/FT Home/Home57.5%

2nd Half More Goals51.6%

HT Both Teams Score49.1%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.523.5%

HT Draw21.5%

HT Away Win16.0%

Equal Goals Each Half16.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.3%

HT/FT Away/Away6.7%

HT Under 0.56.2%

HT/FT Away/Home5.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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