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Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Ittihad FC

Kick-off 19:00 · Tue, Oct 20
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
57% confidence
Al-Ettifaq 25.6% Draw 17.8% Al-Ittihad FC 56.6%
Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 84%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 2.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
89%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Both Teams Score
BTTS Poisson estimate
84%
Home or Away (12)
Double chance from Poisson
82%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Recent form leans to Al-Ittihad FC: 8 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
2-2
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
6%
Exact-score model probability
Al-Ettifaq
D W L L W D
Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5
Al-Ittihad FC
W W W D D L
Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5
Head to head · last 1
Al-Ettifaq 0wins ·0 draws ·Al-Ittihad FC 1wins
Al-Ettifaq 1-3 Al-Ittihad FCMay 14, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Ettifaq win25.6%
Draw17.8%
Al-Ittihad FC win56.6%
Over 1.5 goals96.9%
Over 2.5 goals88.6%
Over 3.5 goals75.2%
Both teams to score84.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5
90.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
88.2%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)
87.5%
Match Result (11)
Both Halves Over 0.584.7%
Goal in Both Halves84.7%
Home or Away (12)82.8%
Draw or Away (X2)73.6%
Draw No Bet - Away68.6%
Away Win56.8%
Home or Draw (1X)42.7%
Draw No Bet - Home31.4%
Home Win26.0%
Draw16.8%
Exactly 1 Goal3.0%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals99.0%
Over 1.5 Goals95.9%
Over 2.5 Goals88.2%
Over 3.5 Goals74.9%
4+ Goals74.9%
Under 5.5 Goals59.7%
Over 4.5 Goals57.8%
Total Goals Odd49.8%
Total Goals Even49.8%
Under 4.5 Goals42.2%
Over 5.5 Goals40.3%
2-4 Goals38.1%
3-4 Goals30.4%
Under 3.5 Goals25.1%
1-3 Goals24.1%
2-3 Goals21.1%
Exactly 3 Goals13.3%
Under 2.5 Goals11.8%
1-2 Goals10.8%
Exactly 2 Goals7.8%
Under 1.5 Goals4.1%
Under 0.5 Goals1.0%
Exactly 0 Goals0.6%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score94.7%
Home Team to Score87.4%
Both Teams Score (GG)83.1%
No Both Teams Score (NG)16.9%
Away Clean Sheet12.2%
Away Win to Nil11.6%
Home Clean Sheet4.8%
Home Win to Nil4.2%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.594.7%
Home Over 0.587.4%
Away Over 1.580.1%
Home Over 1.561.8%
Away Over 2.558.0%
Away 3+ Goals58.0%
Home Over 2.534.9%
Home 3+ Goals34.9%
Home Exactly 226.9%
Home Exactly 125.6%
Away Exactly 222.2%
Away Exactly 114.6%
Home Exactly 012.2%
Away Exactly 04.8%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.5%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.3%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.3%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.1%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.1%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.6%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)87.5%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home87.5%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)86.1%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away86.1%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)76.4%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home76.4%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)73.6%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away73.6%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)60.8%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home60.8%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)56.8%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)42.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home42.7%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)38.8%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away38.8%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)26.0%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)23.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away23.2%
Away to win by 3+23.2%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.0%
Away to win by 118.0%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.6%
Away to win by 215.6%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)13.5%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home13.5%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.5%
Home to win by 112.5%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)12.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away12.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.1%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.5%
Home to win by 27.5%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.6%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.0%
Home to win by 3+6.0%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.4%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.4%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.7%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.4%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.3%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.5%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.7%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.7%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.5%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.579.4%
Away & Over 2.552.3%
Away & BTTS45.2%
Home & Over 2.523.4%
Home & BTTS21.7%
Draw & BTTS16.2%
Draw & Over 2.512.4%
Away & No BTTS11.6%
No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%
No BTTS & Under 2.57.6%
Away & Under 2.54.5%
Draw & Under 2.54.3%
Home & No BTTS4.2%
BTTS & Under 2.53.8%
Home & Under 2.52.5%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.590.1%
HT Over 1.567.1%
2nd Half More Goals49.9%
HT Away Win46.5%
HT Both Teams Score45.5%
HT/FT Away/Away38.4%
HT Under 1.532.9%
1st Half More Goals32.4%
HT Draw27.5%
HT Home Win26.0%
Equal Goals Each Half17.7%
HT/FT Home/Home15.7%
HT/FT Draw/Away13.6%
HT Under 0.59.9%
HT/FT Draw/Home7.3%
HT/FT Draw/Draw6.7%
HT/FT Home/Away5.3%
HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%
HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%
HT/FT Away/Home3.0%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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