Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Nassr

Kick-off 19:00 · Tue, Aug 25

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

60% confidence

Al-Ettifaq 25.6% Draw 14.3% Al-Nassr 60.1%

Over 2.5 - 98% BTTS - 94%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

93%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The 1X2 model's strongest outcome is Al-Nassr win at 60.1%.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Al-Nassr: 11 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Al-Ettifaq win

25.6%

1X2 model probability

Draw

14.3%

1X2 model probability

Al-Nassr win

60.1%

1X2 model probability

Al-Ettifaq

W D L W D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 14:7 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Al-Nassr

W W W D W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 17:7 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Ettifaq win25.6%

Draw14.3%

Al-Nassr win60.1%

Over 1.5 goals99.5%

Over 2.5 goals97.5%

Over 3.5 goals92.8%

Both teams to score93.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.7%

Home Over 0.5

91.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.594.4%

Goal in Both Halves94.4%

Home or Away (12)83.0%

Draw or Away (X2)71.7%

Draw No Bet - Away70.1%

Away Win58.2%

Home or Draw (1X)38.4%

Draw No Bet - Home29.9%

Home Win24.9%

Draw13.6%

Exactly 1 Goal0.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Over 1.5 Goals96.0%

Over 2.5 Goals94.2%

Over 3.5 Goals89.7%

4+ Goals89.7%

Over 4.5 Goals81.5%

Over 5.5 Goals69.7%

Total Goals Odd48.3%

Total Goals Even48.3%

Under 5.5 Goals30.3%

Under 4.5 Goals18.5%

2-4 Goals14.5%

3-4 Goals12.6%

Under 3.5 Goals10.3%

1-3 Goals6.9%

2-3 Goals6.3%

Under 2.5 Goals5.8%

Exactly 3 Goals4.5%

Under 1.5 Goals4.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

1-2 Goals2.4%

Exactly 2 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.2%

Home Team to Score91.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)90.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)9.6%

Away Clean Sheet4.9%

Away Win to Nil4.8%

Home Clean Sheet1.4%

Home Win to Nil1.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.2%

Home Over 0.591.7%

Away Over 1.589.2%

Home Over 1.577.1%

Away Over 2.576.5%

Away 3+ Goals76.5%

Home Over 2.555.3%

Home 3+ Goals55.3%

Home Exactly 221.8%

Home Exactly 114.6%

Away Exactly 212.7%

Away Exactly 16.0%

Home Exactly 04.9%

Away Exactly 01.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)87.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home87.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)79.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home79.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)71.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away71.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)67.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home67.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)58.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)53.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home53.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)43.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away43.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)38.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home38.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away28.8%

Away to win by 3+28.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)24.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)17.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away17.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.0%

Away to win by 115.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.3%

Away to win by 214.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.5%

Home to win by 110.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away8.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home7.3%

Home to win by 3+7.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.0%

Home to win by 27.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.589.5%

Away & Over 2.557.2%

Away & BTTS53.4%

Home & Over 2.524.3%

Home & BTTS23.5%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

Draw & Over 2.512.6%

Away & No BTTS4.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.51.5%

Home & No BTTS1.3%

Draw & Under 2.51.0%

Away & Under 2.50.9%

BTTS & Under 2.50.9%

Home & Under 2.50.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.596.2%

HT Over 1.583.7%

HT Both Teams Score63.1%

2nd Half More Goals53.1%

HT Away Win50.9%

HT/FT Away/Away42.6%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Home Win26.9%

HT Draw22.2%

HT Under 1.516.3%

HT/FT Home/Home15.6%

Equal Goals Each Half14.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.9%

HT/FT Home/Away6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.4%

HT Under 0.53.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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