Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh

Kick-off 19:00 · Fri, Aug 14

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

88% confidence

Al-Ettifaq 88.1% Draw 7.9% Al Riyadh 4.0%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 63%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Al-Ettifaq: 8 points versus 7 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.2%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Ettifaq

D L W D W

Form 2-2-1 Goals 10:5 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

Al Riyadh

W D W L L

Form 2-1-2 Goals 5:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.8

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Ettifaq win88.1%

Draw7.9%

Al Riyadh win4.0%

Over 1.5 goals96.6%

Over 2.5 goals88.4%

Over 3.5 goals74.8%

Both teams to score62.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

90.4%

HT Over 0.5

90.1%

Home Over 1.5

89.2%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home95.3%

Home or Draw (1X)93.1%

Home or Away (12)90.4%

Home Win86.1%

Both Halves Over 0.584.8%

Goal in Both Halves84.8%

Draw or Away (X2)11.3%

Draw7.0%

Draw No Bet - Away4.7%

Away Win4.3%

Exactly 1 Goal3.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.8%

Over 1.5 Goals93.8%

Over 2.5 Goals86.1%

Over 3.5 Goals72.8%

4+ Goals72.8%

Under 5.5 Goals61.7%

Over 4.5 Goals55.8%

Total Goals Even48.8%

Total Goals Odd48.6%

Under 4.5 Goals44.2%

Over 5.5 Goals38.3%

2-4 Goals38.0%

3-4 Goals30.3%

Under 3.5 Goals27.2%

1-3 Goals24.0%

2-3 Goals21.0%

Under 2.5 Goals13.9%

Exactly 3 Goals13.3%

1-2 Goals10.7%

Exactly 2 Goals7.7%

Under 1.5 Goals6.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.8%

Away Team to Score61.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.4%

Home Clean Sheet35.8%

Home Win to Nil35.3%

Away Clean Sheet1.6%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.8%

Home Over 1.589.2%

Home Over 2.575.6%

Home 3+ Goals75.6%

Away Over 0.561.6%

Away Exactly 035.8%

Away Exactly 135.8%

Away Over 1.525.7%

Away Exactly 217.9%

Home Exactly 213.6%

Away Over 2.57.8%

Away 3+ Goals7.8%

Home Exactly 16.6%

Home Exactly 01.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home93.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)86.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)85.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)73.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away73.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)73.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home73.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)58.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away58.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)57.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home57.0%

Home to win by 3+57.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)40.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away40.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)39.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home39.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)23.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away23.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)23.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home23.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 216.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.4%

Home to win by 112.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home12.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away11.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 13.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.0%

Away to win by 21.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away to win by 3+0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.578.7%

BTTS & Over 2.558.1%

Home & BTTS50.9%

Home & No BTTS35.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.527.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.9%

Home & Under 2.57.4%

Draw & BTTS6.4%

Draw & Over 2.54.0%

Away & Over 2.53.4%

Away & BTTS3.3%

Draw & Under 2.53.0%

BTTS & Under 2.52.4%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.590.1%

HT Home Win71.8%

HT/FT Home/Home69.3%

HT Over 1.567.2%

2nd Half More Goals49.9%

HT Under 1.532.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score30.6%

HT Draw20.1%

Equal Goals Each Half17.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.4%

HT Under 0.59.9%

HT Away Win8.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Away/Away2.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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