Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC

Kick-off 16:45 · Fri, Sep 11

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

76% confidence

Al-Faisaly FC 8.9% Draw 15.3% Al-Ittihad FC 75.8%

Over 2.5 - 74% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

91%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

X2 · Draw or Away covers 91.1% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 8.9% on the only losing outcome.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Al-Ittihad FC: 2 points versus 8 across the last 4 matches.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

X2 · Draw or Away

91.1%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

8.9%

Only the uncovered result loses

Al-Faisaly FC

D D L L

Form 0-2-2 Goals 3:7 Scored/game 0.75 Conceded/game 1.75

Al-Ittihad FC

W W D D L L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:11 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Faisaly FC win8.9%

Draw15.3%

Al-Ittihad FC win75.8%

Over 1.5 goals90.5%

Over 2.5 goals73.9%

Over 3.5 goals53.6%

Both teams to score59.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

90.4%

Draw or Away (X2)

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)90.0%

Draw No Bet - Away88.8%

Home or Away (12)86.0%

Away Win76.4%

Both Halves Over 0.572.5%

Goal in Both Halves72.5%

Home or Draw (1X)23.3%

Draw13.7%

Draw No Bet - Home11.2%

Home Win9.7%

Exactly 1 Goal8.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals89.4%

Under 5.5 Goals81.0%

Over 2.5 Goals73.7%

Under 4.5 Goals66.0%

2-4 Goals55.4%

Over 3.5 Goals53.5%

4+ Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals46.5%

1-3 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals39.7%

2-3 Goals36.0%

Over 4.5 Goals34.0%

Under 2.5 Goals26.3%

1-2 Goals23.9%

Exactly 3 Goals20.2%

Over 5.5 Goals19.0%

Exactly 2 Goals15.7%

Under 1.5 Goals10.6%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.1%

Home Team to Score61.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)58.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.7%

Away Clean Sheet37.9%

Away Win to Nil35.8%

Home Clean Sheet5.6%

Home Win to Nil3.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.1%

Away Over 1.578.1%

Home Over 0.561.8%

Away Over 2.554.8%

Away 3+ Goals54.8%

Home Exactly 037.9%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Home Over 1.525.1%

Away Exactly 223.2%

Home Exactly 217.7%

Away Exactly 116.1%

Home Over 2.57.4%

Home 3+ Goals7.4%

Away Exactly 05.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)90.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home90.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away90.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)79.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home79.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)76.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)63.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home63.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)56.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away56.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)43.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home43.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)36.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away36.1%

Away to win by 3+36.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)23.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home23.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.5%

Away to win by 220.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)19.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away19.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.7%

Away to win by 119.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)9.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away9.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw6.6%

Home to win by 16.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw5.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away3.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.3%

Home to win by 22.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.8%

Home to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.561.4%

BTTS & Over 2.552.4%

Away & BTTS40.5%

Away & No BTTS35.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.521.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.520.1%

Away & Under 2.515.0%

Draw & BTTS11.6%

Draw & Under 2.58.0%

Home & Over 2.56.6%

Home & BTTS6.2%

BTTS & Under 2.55.9%

Draw & Over 2.55.7%

Home & No BTTS3.4%

Home & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.3%

HT Away Win58.5%

HT/FT Away/Away54.4%

HT Over 1.551.7%

HT Under 1.548.3%

2nd Half More Goals47.1%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw29.1%

HT Both Teams Score25.6%

Equal Goals Each Half20.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.5%

HT Under 0.517.7%

HT Home Win12.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.1%

HT/FT Home/Home5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Away/Home0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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