Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Kick-off 15:55 · Fri, Oct 9

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

Al-Fateh 38.3% Draw 24.1% Al-Ahli Jeddah 37.6%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 71%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Ahli Jeddah: 6 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Fateh

L D D L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

Al-Ahli Jeddah

W L L W W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 14:7 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Fateh win38.3%

Draw24.1%

Al-Ahli Jeddah win37.6%

Over 1.5 goals88.8%

Over 2.5 goals70.1%

Over 3.5 goals48.9%

Both teams to score71.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.1%

Both Halves Over 0.569.4%

Goal in Both Halves69.4%

Home or Draw (1X)61.3%

Draw or Away (X2)60.5%

Draw No Bet - Home50.5%

Draw No Bet - Away49.5%

Home Win39.5%

Away Win38.6%

Draw21.9%

Exactly 1 Goal9.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals87.6%

Under 5.5 Goals84.1%

Under 4.5 Goals70.3%

Over 2.5 Goals70.1%

2-4 Goals57.9%

Under 3.5 Goals51.1%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Over 3.5 Goals48.9%

4+ Goals48.9%

1-3 Goals48.4%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.7%

Under 2.5 Goals29.9%

Over 4.5 Goals29.7%

1-2 Goals27.2%

Exactly 3 Goals21.2%

Exactly 2 Goals17.5%

Over 5.5 Goals15.9%

Under 1.5 Goals12.4%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score83.8%

Away Team to Score83.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.1%

Home Clean Sheet16.5%

Away Clean Sheet16.2%

Home Win to Nil13.9%

Away Win to Nil13.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.583.8%

Away Over 0.583.4%

Home Over 1.554.3%

Away Over 1.553.7%

Away Exactly 129.8%

Home Exactly 129.5%

Home Over 2.527.5%

Home 3+ Goals27.5%

Away Over 2.526.9%

Away 3+ Goals26.9%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 016.5%

Home Exactly 016.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)79.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home79.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)79.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away79.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)61.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home61.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)20.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home20.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away20.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.6%

Home to win by 118.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.4%

Away to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.8%

Home to win by 211.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.5%

Away to win by 211.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.1%

Home to win by 3+9.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.7%

Away to win by 3+8.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw5.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.561.2%

Home & Over 2.530.2%

Away & Over 2.529.5%

Home & BTTS25.6%

Away & BTTS25.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.1%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Home & No BTTS13.9%

Away & No BTTS13.5%

Draw & Under 2.511.4%

Draw & Over 2.510.4%

Home & Under 2.59.3%

Away & Under 2.59.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

BTTS & Under 2.58.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.4%

HT Under 1.551.5%

HT Over 1.548.5%

2nd Half More Goals46.5%

HT Draw34.9%

HT Home Win32.8%

HT Away Win32.3%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score31.1%

HT/FT Home/Home24.1%

HT/FT Away/Away23.5%

Equal Goals Each Half21.5%

HT Under 0.519.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions