Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq

Kick-off 16:45 · Sat, Aug 22

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

84% confidence

Al-Fateh 5.0% Draw 11.2% Al-Ettifaq 83.8%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 53%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 10%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Al-Ettifaq: 5 points versus 11 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.13 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Fateh

L D W L D

Form 1-2-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.8 Conceded/game 1.2

Al-Ettifaq

W D L W D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 14:7 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Fateh win5.0%

Draw11.2%

Al-Ettifaq win83.8%

Over 1.5 goals91.9%

Over 2.5 goals77.1%

Over 3.5 goals57.9%

Both teams to score53.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.7%

Home or Away (12)

89.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

84.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)93.7%

Draw No Bet - Away93.7%

Home or Away (12)89.3%

Away Win83.7%

Both Halves Over 0.575.1%

Goal in Both Halves75.1%

Home or Draw (1X)15.6%

Draw10.0%

Exactly 1 Goal6.9%

Draw No Bet - Home6.3%

Home Win5.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals90.7%

Under 5.5 Goals78.0%

Over 2.5 Goals76.6%

Under 4.5 Goals62.0%

Over 3.5 Goals57.5%

4+ Goals57.5%

2-4 Goals52.8%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Under 3.5 Goals42.5%

1-3 Goals40.2%

3-4 Goals38.7%

Over 4.5 Goals38.0%

2-3 Goals33.2%

Under 2.5 Goals23.4%

Over 5.5 Goals22.0%

1-2 Goals21.0%

Exactly 3 Goals19.2%

Exactly 2 Goals14.1%

Under 1.5 Goals9.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.6%

Home Team to Score54.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)47.5%

Away Clean Sheet44.8%

Away Win to Nil43.1%

Home Clean Sheet3.8%

Home Win to Nil2.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.6%

Away Over 1.583.2%

Away Over 2.563.0%

Away 3+ Goals63.0%

Home Over 0.554.6%

Home Exactly 044.8%

Home Exactly 135.7%

Away Exactly 220.2%

Home Over 1.518.9%

Home Exactly 214.2%

Away Exactly 112.3%

Home Over 2.54.7%

Home 3+ Goals4.7%

Away Exactly 03.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away93.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)92.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home84.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)83.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)71.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home71.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)66.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away66.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)52.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home52.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)46.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away46.8%

Away to win by 3+46.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)32.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home32.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)28.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away28.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.2%

Away to win by 220.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw18.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.8%

Away to win by 116.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)15.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home15.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)14.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away14.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw13.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw8.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away6.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.1%

Home to win by 14.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.2%

Home to win by 21.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.3%

Home to win by 3+0.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.569.0%

BTTS & Over 2.548.1%

Away & No BTTS43.1%

Away & BTTS40.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.528.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.3%

Away & Under 2.514.7%

Draw & BTTS8.3%

Draw & Under 2.56.1%

BTTS & Under 2.54.4%

Draw & Over 2.53.9%

Home & Over 2.53.7%

Home & BTTS3.5%

Home & No BTTS2.1%

Home & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.0%

HT Away Win65.6%

HT/FT Away/Away62.8%

HT Over 1.554.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.7%

HT Under 1.545.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw25.6%

HT Both Teams Score23.2%

Equal Goals Each Half20.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.1%

HT Under 0.516.0%

HT Home Win8.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.4%

HT/FT Home/Home3.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.1%

HT/FT Away/Home0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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