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Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC

Kick-off 19:00 · Sat, Aug 29
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
59% confidence
Al-Fateh 20.2% Draw 21.2% Al-Ittihad FC 58.6%
Over 2.5 - 72% BTTS - 69%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
90%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Draw or Away (X2)
Double chance from Poisson
80%
Both Teams Score
BTTS Poisson estimate
69%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.1%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Recent form leans to Al-Ittihad FC: 6 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
1-2
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
9.1%
Exact-score model probability
Al-Fateh
D L D W L D
Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17
Al-Ittihad FC
D L L W W D
Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:11 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Fateh win20.2%
Draw21.2%
Al-Ittihad FC win58.6%
Over 1.5 goals89.7%
Over 2.5 goals72.0%
Over 3.5 goals51.3%
Both teams to score68.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)
91.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away
91.0%
Away Team to Score
90.5%
Match Result (11)
Home or Away (12)80.8%
Draw or Away (X2)78.7%
Draw No Bet - Away73.7%
Both Halves Over 0.571.0%
Goal in Both Halves71.0%
Away Win59.6%
Home or Draw (1X)40.4%
Draw No Bet - Home26.3%
Home Win21.2%
Draw19.1%
Exactly 1 Goal8.9%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals97.5%
Over 1.5 Goals88.6%
Under 5.5 Goals82.6%
Over 2.5 Goals72.0%
Under 4.5 Goals68.1%
2-4 Goals56.7%
Over 3.5 Goals51.3%
4+ Goals51.3%
Total Goals Even50.0%
Total Goals Odd49.9%
Under 3.5 Goals48.7%
1-3 Goals46.3%
3-4 Goals40.1%
2-3 Goals37.4%
Over 4.5 Goals31.9%
Under 2.5 Goals28.0%
1-2 Goals25.6%
Exactly 3 Goals20.7%
Over 5.5 Goals17.4%
Exactly 2 Goals16.6%
Under 1.5 Goals11.4%
Under 0.5 Goals2.5%
Exactly 0 Goals2.4%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score90.5%
Home Team to Score74.5%
Both Teams Score (GG)67.5%
No Both Teams Score (NG)32.5%
Away Clean Sheet25.4%
Away Win to Nil23.0%
Home Clean Sheet9.4%
Home Win to Nil7.0%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.590.5%
Home Over 0.574.5%
Away Over 1.568.4%
Away Over 2.542.1%
Away 3+ Goals42.1%
Home Over 1.539.7%
Home Exactly 134.8%
Away Exactly 226.3%
Home Exactly 025.4%
Home Exactly 223.8%
Away Exactly 122.2%
Home Over 2.515.9%
Home 3+ Goals15.9%
Away Exactly 09.4%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.1%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.9%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.9%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.2%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.0%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)90.4%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home90.4%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)79.2%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home79.2%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.7%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.7%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)61.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home61.7%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)59.6%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)40.4%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home40.4%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)38.3%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away38.3%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.3%
Away to win by 121.3%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.2%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)20.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away20.7%
Away to win by 3+20.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.5%
Away to win by 217.5%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.3%
Home to win by 112.3%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.2%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)9.5%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away9.5%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.9%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.9%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.9%
Home to win by 25.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.8%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.7%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.7%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.0%
Home to win by 3+3.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.5%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.2%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.2%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.8%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.6%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.559.8%
Away & Over 2.547.2%
Away & BTTS36.5%
Away & No BTTS23.0%
No BTTS & Under 2.520.2%
Draw & BTTS16.8%
Home & Over 2.515.7%
Home & BTTS14.2%
Away & Under 2.512.3%
No BTTS & Over 2.512.2%
Draw & Under 2.510.1%
Draw & Over 2.59.0%
BTTS & Under 2.57.7%
Home & No BTTS7.0%
Home & Under 2.55.5%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.581.4%
HT Over 1.550.1%
HT Under 1.549.9%
2nd Half More Goals46.8%
HT Away Win46.0%
HT/FT Away/Away39.2%
HT Draw33.0%
1st Half More Goals32.0%
HT Both Teams Score30.1%
Equal Goals Each Half21.1%
HT Home Win21.0%
HT Under 0.518.6%
HT/FT Draw/Away16.4%
HT/FT Home/Home12.2%
HT/FT Draw/Draw9.5%
HT/FT Draw/Home7.1%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%
HT/FT Home/Away4.0%
HT/FT Away/Home1.9%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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