Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat

Kick-off 19:00 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

64% confidence

Al-Fateh 64.3% Draw 23.0% Al Khaleej Saihat 12.7%

Over 2.5 - 53% BTTS - 49%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

85%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 12.2%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Al-Fateh: 6 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.2%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Fateh

L D D L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

Al Khaleej Saihat

D L L D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 3:13 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Fateh win64.3%

Draw23.0%

Al Khaleej Saihat win12.7%

Over 1.5 goals78.1%

Over 2.5 goals52.9%

Over 3.5 goals30.7%

Both teams to score48.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away

91.4%

Home Team to Score

86.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)86.0%

Draw No Bet - Home82.4%

Home or Away (12)79.5%

Home Win65.6%

Both Halves Over 0.556.2%

Goal in Both Halves56.2%

Draw or Away (X2)34.4%

Draw20.4%

Draw No Bet - Away17.6%

Exactly 1 Goal17.1%

Away Win14.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals93.9%

Under 5.5 Goals93.5%

Under 4.5 Goals84.9%

Over 1.5 Goals76.8%

Under 3.5 Goals69.3%

1-3 Goals63.2%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals47.1%

2-3 Goals46.1%

1-2 Goals40.9%

3-4 Goals37.8%

Over 3.5 Goals30.7%

4+ Goals30.7%

Exactly 2 Goals23.9%

Under 1.5 Goals23.2%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals15.1%

Over 5.5 Goals6.5%

Under 0.5 Goals6.1%

Exactly 0 Goals6.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score86.5%

Away Team to Score54.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)52.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.4%

Home Clean Sheet45.1%

Home Win to Nil39.0%

Away Clean Sheet13.5%

Away Win to Nil7.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.586.5%

Home Over 1.559.4%

Away Over 0.554.8%

Away Exactly 045.1%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Home Over 2.532.3%

Home 3+ Goals32.3%

Home Exactly 127.1%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Away Over 1.518.9%

Away Exactly 214.3%

Home Exactly 013.5%

Away Over 2.54.7%

Away 3+ Goals4.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home86.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away79.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)65.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)59.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away59.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)40.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home40.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)34.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away34.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.9%

Home to win by 124.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)20.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home20.5%

Home to win by 3+20.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 220.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.9%

Away to win by 19.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.2%

Away to win by 23.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.541.1%

Home & No BTTS39.0%

BTTS & Over 2.537.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.537.3%

Home & BTTS26.5%

Home & Under 2.524.4%

Draw & Under 2.515.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.2%

Draw & BTTS14.3%

BTTS & Under 2.59.7%

Away & No BTTS7.4%

Away & Over 2.57.2%

Away & Under 2.56.8%

Away & BTTS6.6%

Draw & Over 2.54.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.6%

HT Under 1.564.2%

HT Home Win47.5%

2nd Half More Goals43.8%

HT/FT Home/Home42.7%

HT Draw38.3%

HT Over 1.535.8%

1st Half More Goals31.2%

HT Under 0.528.4%

Equal Goals Each Half25.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home20.0%

HT Both Teams Score17.9%

HT Away Win14.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw12.7%

HT/FT Away/Away7.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.9%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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