Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab

Kick-off 15:45 · Thu, Oct 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

61% confidence

Al-Fateh 61.1% Draw 24.3% Al Shabab 14.6%

Over 2.5 - 52% BTTS - 50%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

61%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 12.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Fateh: 6 points versus 2 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.2%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Fateh

L D D L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

Al Shabab

L L D D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Fateh win61.1%

Draw24.3%

Al Shabab win14.6%

Over 1.5 goals77.3%

Over 2.5 goals51.7%

Over 3.5 goals29.6%

Both teams to score49.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

85.6%

Home Team to Score

85.1%

Home Over 0.5

85.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)84.1%

Draw No Bet - Home79.7%

Home or Away (12)78.4%

Home Win62.4%

Both Halves Over 0.555.3%

Goal in Both Halves55.3%

Draw or Away (X2)37.5%

Draw21.6%

Draw No Bet - Away20.3%

Exactly 1 Goal17.6%

Away Win15.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.0%

Over 0.5 Goals93.6%

Under 4.5 Goals85.6%

Over 1.5 Goals75.9%

Under 3.5 Goals70.4%

1-3 Goals64.0%

2-4 Goals61.6%

Over 2.5 Goals51.7%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals48.3%

2-3 Goals46.3%

1-2 Goals41.8%

3-4 Goals37.4%

Over 3.5 Goals29.6%

4+ Goals29.6%

Exactly 2 Goals24.2%

Under 1.5 Goals24.1%

Exactly 3 Goals22.2%

Over 4.5 Goals14.4%

Under 0.5 Goals6.4%

Exactly 0 Goals6.4%

Over 5.5 Goals6.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.1%

Away Team to Score56.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)51.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)48.4%

Home Clean Sheet43.2%

Home Win to Nil36.7%

Away Clean Sheet14.9%

Away Win to Nil8.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.1%

Home Over 1.556.8%

Away Over 0.556.8%

Away Exactly 043.2%

Away Exactly 136.3%

Home Over 2.529.8%

Home 3+ Goals29.8%

Home Exactly 128.3%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Over 1.520.6%

Away Exactly 215.2%

Home Exactly 014.9%

Away Over 2.55.3%

Away 3+ Goals5.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)81.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away81.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)62.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away62.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)62.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)37.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away37.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)37.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home37.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.0%

Home to win by 125.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.3%

Home to win by 219.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home18.2%

Home to win by 3+18.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)15.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.0%

Away to win by 111.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.7%

Away to win by 23.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.538.6%

BTTS & Over 2.538.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.538.0%

Home & No BTTS36.7%

Home & BTTS25.7%

Home & Under 2.523.9%

Draw & Under 2.516.7%

Draw & BTTS15.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.6%

BTTS & Under 2.510.3%

Away & No BTTS8.4%

Away & Over 2.58.3%

Away & Under 2.57.7%

Away & BTTS7.5%

Draw & Over 2.54.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.9%

HT Under 1.565.0%

HT Home Win45.2%

2nd Half More Goals43.6%

HT/FT Home/Home40.1%

HT Draw39.3%

HT Over 1.535.0%

1st Half More Goals31.1%

HT Under 0.529.1%

Equal Goals Each Half25.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.5%

HT Both Teams Score18.1%

HT Away Win15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.4%

HT/FT Away/Away8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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