Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Fayha vs Abha

Kick-off 17:00 · Fri, Aug 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

39% confidence

Al-Fayha 38.4% Draw 22.7% Abha 38.9%

Over 2.5 - 76% BTTS - 76%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 7.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.4%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Fayha

L L L L L W

Form 1-0-5 Goals 6:13 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.17

Abha

D L

Form 0-1-1 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Fayha win38.4%

Draw22.7%

Abha win38.9%

Over 1.5 goals91.7%

Over 2.5 goals75.9%

Over 3.5 goals56.3%

Both teams to score75.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.2%

Both Halves Over 0.574.0%

Goal in Both Halves74.0%

Draw or Away (X2)60.7%

Home or Draw (1X)60.0%

Draw No Bet - Away50.4%

Draw No Bet - Home49.6%

Away Win39.9%

Home Win39.3%

Draw20.7%

Exactly 1 Goal7.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals90.7%

Under 5.5 Goals78.8%

Over 2.5 Goals75.9%

Under 4.5 Goals63.2%

Over 3.5 Goals56.3%

4+ Goals56.3%

2-4 Goals53.9%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals43.7%

1-3 Goals41.8%

3-4 Goals39.2%

Over 4.5 Goals36.8%

2-3 Goals34.4%

Under 2.5 Goals24.1%

1-2 Goals22.2%

Over 5.5 Goals21.2%

Exactly 3 Goals19.6%

Exactly 2 Goals14.8%

Under 1.5 Goals9.3%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score86.4%

Home Team to Score86.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.5%

Away Clean Sheet13.7%

Home Clean Sheet13.5%

Away Win to Nil11.9%

Home Win to Nil11.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.586.4%

Home Over 0.586.2%

Away Over 1.559.4%

Home Over 1.558.9%

Away Over 2.532.3%

Away 3+ Goals32.3%

Home Over 2.531.9%

Home 3+ Goals31.9%

Home Exactly 127.3%

Home Exactly 227.1%

Away Exactly 127.1%

Away Exactly 227.1%

Home Exactly 013.7%

Away Exactly 013.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.0%

Away to win by 118.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 117.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.9%

Away to win by 211.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.7%

Home to win by 211.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.1%

Away to win by 3+10.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.8%

Home to win by 3+9.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.567.2%

Away & Over 2.532.5%

Home & Over 2.531.9%

Away & BTTS28.0%

Home & BTTS27.6%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.7%

Away & No BTTS11.9%

Home & No BTTS11.7%

Draw & Over 2.511.5%

Draw & Under 2.59.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Home & Under 2.57.4%

Away & Under 2.57.4%

BTTS & Under 2.57.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.4%

HT Over 1.553.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.5%

HT Under 1.546.5%

HT Both Teams Score35.0%

HT Away Win33.7%

HT Home Win33.3%

HT Draw33.0%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT/FT Away/Away24.7%

HT/FT Home/Home24.2%

Equal Goals Each Half20.4%

HT Under 0.516.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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