Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Kick-off 16:05 · Mon, Oct 19

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Al-Fayha 29.3% Draw 16.7% Al-Ahli Jeddah 54.0%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-3 at 5.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Ahli Jeddah: 4 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.5%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Fayha

L D W L L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 7:12 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2

Al-Ahli Jeddah

W L L W W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 14:7 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Fayha win29.3%

Draw16.7%

Al-Ahli Jeddah win54.0%

Over 1.5 goals98.5%

Over 2.5 goals93.6%

Over 3.5 goals84.4%

Both teams to score89.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.6%

Home Over 0.5

91.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.589.6%

Goal in Both Halves89.6%

Home or Away (12)83.1%

Draw or Away (X2)69.7%

Draw No Bet - Away64.7%

Away Win53.8%

Home or Draw (1X)45.3%

Draw No Bet - Home35.3%

Home Win29.3%

Draw15.9%

Exactly 1 Goal1.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.8%

Over 1.5 Goals97.3%

Over 2.5 Goals92.7%

Over 3.5 Goals83.6%

4+ Goals83.6%

Over 4.5 Goals70.0%

Over 5.5 Goals53.8%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Under 5.5 Goals46.2%

Under 4.5 Goals30.0%

2-4 Goals27.3%

3-4 Goals22.7%

Under 3.5 Goals16.4%

1-3 Goals15.2%

2-3 Goals13.7%

Exactly 3 Goals9.1%

Under 2.5 Goals7.3%

1-2 Goals6.1%

Exactly 2 Goals4.6%

Under 1.5 Goals2.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.7%

Home Team to Score91.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.6%

Away Clean Sheet7.5%

Away Win to Nil7.3%

Home Clean Sheet3.4%

Home Win to Nil3.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.7%

Home Over 0.591.6%

Away Over 1.584.1%

Home Over 1.572.2%

Away Over 2.564.7%

Away 3+ Goals64.7%

Home Over 2.547.2%

Home 3+ Goals47.2%

Home Exactly 225.0%

Home Exactly 119.4%

Away Exactly 219.4%

Away Exactly 111.5%

Home Exactly 07.5%

Away Exactly 03.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)86.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home86.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)76.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home76.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)69.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away69.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)61.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home61.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)53.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)45.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home45.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)37.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away37.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)29.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away22.8%

Away to win by 3+22.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.6%

Away to win by 116.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.4%

Away to win by 214.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.7%

Home to win by 112.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)12.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away12.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw8.4%

Home to win by 28.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.2%

Home to win by 3+8.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.586.2%

Away & Over 2.551.4%

Away & BTTS46.5%

Home & Over 2.527.8%

Home & BTTS26.2%

Draw & BTTS15.7%

Draw & Over 2.513.4%

Away & No BTTS7.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.1%

Home & No BTTS3.1%

Draw & Under 2.52.5%

Away & Under 2.52.3%

BTTS & Under 2.52.3%

Home & Under 2.51.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.2%

HT Over 1.574.8%

HT Both Teams Score53.7%

2nd Half More Goals51.3%

HT Away Win45.5%

HT/FT Away/Away36.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Home Win29.0%

HT Draw25.4%

HT Under 1.525.2%

HT/FT Home/Home18.2%

Equal Goals Each Half16.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.5%

HT Under 0.56.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Home/Away5.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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