Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh

Kick-off 16:15 · Thu, Oct 15

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Al-Hazm 47.2% Draw 35.9% Al-Fateh 16.9%

Over 2.5 - 23% BTTS - 30%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 21.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Hazm: 8 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

21.1%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Hazm

D W W L D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

Al-Fateh

L D D L D W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 4:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Hazm win47.2%

Draw35.9%

Al-Fateh win16.9%

Over 1.5 goals50.4%

Over 2.5 goals22.8%

Over 3.5 goals8.5%

Both teams to score29.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 3.5 Goals

91.5%

HT Under 1.5

83.1%

Home or Draw (1X)

81.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)81.5%

Draw No Bet - Home72.5%

Home or Away (12)67.1%

Draw or Away (X2)51.3%

Home Win48.7%

Draw32.9%

Exactly 1 Goal31.8%

Both Halves Over 0.531.1%

Goal in Both Halves31.1%

Draw No Bet - Away27.5%

Away Win18.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.3%

Under 4.5 Goals97.4%

Under 3.5 Goals91.5%

Over 0.5 Goals80.6%

Under 2.5 Goals77.2%

1-3 Goals72.2%

1-2 Goals57.9%

Total Goals Even51.9%

Under 1.5 Goals51.1%

Over 1.5 Goals48.9%

Total Goals Odd48.1%

2-4 Goals46.2%

2-3 Goals40.4%

Exactly 2 Goals26.1%

Over 2.5 Goals22.8%

3-4 Goals20.1%

Under 0.5 Goals19.4%

Exactly 0 Goals19.4%

Exactly 3 Goals14.3%

Over 3.5 Goals8.5%

4+ Goals8.5%

Over 4.5 Goals2.6%

Over 5.5 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)71.9%

Home Team to Score66.4%

Home Clean Sheet57.7%

Away Team to Score42.3%

Home Win to Nil38.3%

Away Clean Sheet33.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)28.1%

Away Win to Nil14.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.566.4%

Away Exactly 057.7%

Away Over 0.542.3%

Home Exactly 136.6%

Home Exactly 033.6%

Away Exactly 131.7%

Home Over 1.529.8%

Home Exactly 220.0%

Away Over 1.510.6%

Home Over 2.59.8%

Home 3+ Goals9.8%

Away Exactly 28.7%

Away Over 2.51.8%

Away 3+ Goals1.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home81.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)79.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away79.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)51.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away51.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)48.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw28.2%

Home to win by 128.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)20.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home20.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)18.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.2%

Away to win by 114.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.0%

Home to win by 214.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.5%

Home to win by 3+6.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.6%

Away to win by 23.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.7%

Away to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.565.6%

Home & No BTTS38.3%

Home & Under 2.532.7%

Draw & Under 2.531.0%

BTTS & Over 2.516.5%

Home & Over 2.516.0%

Away & No BTTS14.2%

Away & Under 2.513.6%

Draw & BTTS13.5%

BTTS & Under 2.511.6%

Home & BTTS10.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.3%

Away & Over 2.54.9%

Away & BTTS4.3%

Draw & Over 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.583.1%

HT Draw53.8%

HT Over 0.552.2%

HT Under 0.547.8%

2nd Half More Goals37.3%

Equal Goals Each Half34.6%

HT Home Win32.0%

1st Half More Goals28.1%

HT/FT Home/Home28.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw25.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home19.4%

HT Over 1.516.9%

HT Away Win14.2%

HT/FT Away/Away9.5%

HT Both Teams Score8.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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