Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha

Kick-off 14:40 · Thu, Oct 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Al-Hazm 52.3% Draw 25.6% Al-Fayha 22.1%

Over 2.5 - 57% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

82%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Hazm: 8 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.7%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Hazm

D W W L D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

Al-Fayha

L D W L L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 7:12 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Hazm win52.3%

Draw25.6%

Al-Fayha win22.1%

Over 1.5 goals81.2%

Over 2.5 goals57.3%

Over 3.5 goals34.9%

Both teams to score58.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 5.5 Goals

91.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.2%

Home or Draw (1X)76.5%

Draw No Bet - Home69.5%

Both Halves Over 0.559.6%

Goal in Both Halves59.6%

Home Win53.7%

Draw or Away (X2)46.3%

Draw No Bet - Away30.5%

Away Win23.5%

Draw22.8%

Exactly 1 Goal15.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.9%

Under 5.5 Goals91.8%

Under 4.5 Goals81.8%

Over 1.5 Goals79.8%

Under 3.5 Goals65.1%

2-4 Goals61.6%

1-3 Goals60.0%

Over 2.5 Goals57.3%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-3 Goals44.9%

Under 2.5 Goals42.7%

3-4 Goals39.1%

1-2 Goals37.6%

Over 3.5 Goals34.9%

4+ Goals34.9%

Exactly 2 Goals22.5%

Exactly 3 Goals22.4%

Under 1.5 Goals20.2%

Over 4.5 Goals18.2%

Over 5.5 Goals8.2%

Under 0.5 Goals5.1%

Exactly 0 Goals5.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score84.1%

Away Team to Score68.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.7%

Home Clean Sheet31.9%

Home Win to Nil26.8%

Away Clean Sheet15.9%

Away Win to Nil10.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.584.1%

Away Over 0.568.1%

Home Over 1.554.9%

Away Exactly 136.4%

Away Exactly 031.9%

Away Over 1.531.7%

Home Exactly 129.2%

Home Over 2.528.0%

Home 3+ Goals28.0%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 220.8%

Home Exactly 015.9%

Away Over 2.510.8%

Away 3+ Goals10.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)69.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away69.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)53.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)46.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away46.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)30.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home30.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)23.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.2%

Home to win by 123.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.4%

Home to win by 216.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.4%

Away to win by 114.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.0%

Home to win by 3+14.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.3%

Away to win by 26.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.8%

Away to win by 3+2.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.546.6%

Home & Over 2.535.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.532.1%

Home & BTTS26.8%

Home & No BTTS26.8%

Home & Under 2.517.9%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

Draw & Under 2.515.7%

Away & Over 2.514.4%

Away & BTTS12.7%

Away & No BTTS10.8%

BTTS & Under 2.510.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.6%

Away & Under 2.59.1%

Draw & Over 2.57.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.573.9%

HT Under 1.561.2%

2nd Half More Goals44.5%

HT Home Win40.3%

HT Over 1.538.8%

HT Draw38.5%

HT/FT Home/Home33.7%

1st Half More Goals31.4%

HT Under 0.526.1%

Equal Goals Each Half24.1%

HT Both Teams Score22.6%

HT Away Win21.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.9%

HT/FT Away/Away13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw13.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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