Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab

Kick-off 17:05 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

63% confidence

Al-Hazm 63.3% Draw 14.6% Al Shabab 22.1%

Over 2.5 - 96% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.1%, based on the goal model.

BTTS Poisson estimate

Recent form leans to Al-Hazm: 7 points versus 4 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.87 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.1%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Hazm

W W L D L

Form 2-1-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1.2 Conceded/game 1.6

Al Shabab

D L L W L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 10:15 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Hazm win63.3%

Draw14.6%

Al Shabab win22.1%

Over 1.5 goals99.0%

Over 2.5 goals95.5%

Over 3.5 goals88.3%

Both teams to score90.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Both Halves Over 0.5

91.8%

Goal in Both Halves

91.8%

Away Team to Score

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.591.8%

Goal in Both Halves91.8%

Home or Away (12)84.1%

Home or Draw (1X)76.0%

Draw No Bet - Home73.9%

Home Win62.1%

Draw or Away (X2)35.8%

Draw No Bet - Away26.1%

Away Win21.9%

Draw13.8%

Exactly 1 Goal1.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals96.7%

Over 2.5 Goals93.5%

Over 3.5 Goals86.4%

4+ Goals86.4%

Over 4.5 Goals75.1%

Over 5.5 Goals60.4%

Total Goals Odd49.0%

Total Goals Even49.0%

Under 5.5 Goals39.6%

Under 4.5 Goals24.9%

2-4 Goals21.7%

3-4 Goals18.4%

Under 3.5 Goals13.6%

1-3 Goals11.3%

2-3 Goals10.3%

Exactly 3 Goals7.0%

Under 2.5 Goals6.5%

1-2 Goals4.3%

Under 1.5 Goals3.3%

Exactly 2 Goals3.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score90.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)88.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)11.8%

Home Clean Sheet7.9%

Home Win to Nil7.8%

Away Clean Sheet1.9%

Away Win to Nil1.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Away Over 0.590.0%

Home Over 1.588.3%

Home Over 2.573.3%

Home 3+ Goals73.3%

Away Over 1.570.0%

Away Over 2.545.0%

Away 3+ Goals45.0%

Away Exactly 225.1%

Away Exactly 119.9%

Home Exactly 215.1%

Away Exactly 07.9%

Home Exactly 17.6%

Home Exactly 01.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)67.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away67.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)62.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)51.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away51.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)46.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home46.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)35.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away35.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.9%

Home to win by 3+30.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)18.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home18.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.9%

Home to win by 115.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.1%

Away to win by 110.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.3%

Away to win by 26.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.5%

Away to win by 3+5.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.586.6%

Home & Over 2.560.3%

Home & BTTS54.4%

Away & Over 2.521.0%

Away & BTTS20.1%

Draw & BTTS13.7%

Draw & Over 2.512.1%

Home & No BTTS7.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.52.9%

Home & Under 2.51.8%

Away & No BTTS1.8%

Draw & Under 2.51.7%

BTTS & Under 2.51.6%

Away & Under 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.594.5%

HT Over 1.578.6%

HT Both Teams Score56.2%

HT Home Win52.4%

2nd Half More Goals52.0%

HT/FT Home/Home44.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win24.2%

HT Draw23.4%

HT Under 1.521.4%

Equal Goals Each Half15.6%

HT/FT Away/Away13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.9%

HT/FT Away/Home6.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.6%

HT Under 0.55.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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