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Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Hazm vs NEOM

Kick-off 14:50 · Sat, Oct 10
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
52% confidence
Al-Hazm 19.5% Draw 28.7% NEOM 51.8%
Over 2.5 - 44% BTTS - 47%
🎯 Best Pick
Under 4.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
90%
▸ Show 1 alternative
Draw or Away (X2)
Double chance from Poisson
81%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 13.8%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Recent form leans to NEOM: 8 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
0-1
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
13.8%
Exact-score model probability
Al-Hazm
D W W L D L
Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33
NEOM
W W L W W D
Form 4-1-1 Goals 10:3 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Hazm win19.5%
Draw28.7%
NEOM win51.8%
Over 1.5 goals71.1%
Over 2.5 goals43.5%
Over 3.5 goals22.5%
Both teams to score47.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals
91.1%
Under 4.5 Goals
90.2%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)
88.5%
Match Result (11)
Draw or Away (X2)78.9%
Home or Away (12)74.4%
Draw No Bet - Away71.7%
Away Win53.3%
Both Halves Over 0.548.8%
Goal in Both Halves48.8%
Home or Draw (1X)46.7%
Draw No Bet - Home28.3%
Draw25.6%
Exactly 1 Goal21.5%
Home Win21.1%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Under 5.5 Goals96.3%
Over 0.5 Goals91.1%
Under 4.5 Goals90.2%
Under 3.5 Goals77.5%
Over 1.5 Goals69.6%
1-3 Goals68.6%
2-4 Goals59.7%
Under 2.5 Goals56.5%
Total Goals Even50.4%
Total Goals Odd49.6%
1-2 Goals47.6%
2-3 Goals47.0%
Over 2.5 Goals43.5%
3-4 Goals33.7%
Under 1.5 Goals30.4%
Exactly 2 Goals26.0%
Over 3.5 Goals22.5%
4+ Goals22.5%
Exactly 3 Goals21.0%
Over 4.5 Goals9.8%
Under 0.5 Goals8.9%
Exactly 0 Goals8.9%
Over 5.5 Goals3.7%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score78.8%
Home Team to Score58.1%
No Both Teams Score (NG)54.3%
Both Teams Score (GG)45.7%
Away Clean Sheet41.9%
Away Win to Nil33.0%
Home Clean Sheet21.2%
Home Win to Nil12.3%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.578.8%
Home Over 0.558.1%
Away Over 1.545.9%
Home Exactly 041.9%
Home Exactly 136.4%
Away Exactly 132.9%
Away Exactly 225.5%
Home Over 1.521.6%
Away Exactly 021.2%
Away Over 2.520.4%
Away 3+ Goals20.4%
Home Exactly 215.8%
Home Over 2.55.8%
Home 3+ Goals5.8%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.3%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.1%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.1%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.2%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.2%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.5%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.5%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)78.9%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away78.9%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)72.1%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home72.1%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)53.3%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)46.7%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home46.7%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)27.9%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away27.9%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw25.4%
Away to win by 125.4%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)21.1%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.4%
Away to win by 216.4%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.3%
Home to win by 114.3%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.5%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.5%
Away to win by 3+11.5%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.7%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.8%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.8%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.1%
Home to win by 25.1%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.9%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.8%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.7%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.7%
Home to win by 3+1.7%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.3%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.1%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.8%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.3%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.3%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%
Combos (15)
No BTTS & Under 2.544.5%
BTTS & Over 2.533.7%
Away & No BTTS33.0%
Away & Over 2.528.8%
Away & Under 2.524.5%
Draw & Under 2.520.9%
Away & BTTS20.3%
Draw & BTTS16.7%
Home & No BTTS12.3%
BTTS & Under 2.512.0%
Home & Under 2.511.1%
Home & Over 2.510.0%
No BTTS & Over 2.59.8%
Home & BTTS8.8%
Draw & Over 2.54.7%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Under 1.570.3%
HT Over 0.566.3%
HT Draw43.5%
2nd Half More Goals42.2%
HT Away Win38.2%
HT Under 0.533.7%
HT/FT Away/Away32.6%
1st Half More Goals30.5%
HT Over 1.529.7%
Equal Goals Each Half27.3%
HT/FT Draw/Away18.4%
HT Home Win18.3%
HT/FT Draw/Draw16.7%
HT Both Teams Score16.3%
HT/FT Home/Home11.5%
HT/FT Draw/Home8.5%
HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%
HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%
HT/FT Home/Away2.3%
HT/FT Away/Home1.1%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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