Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Kick-off 19:00 · Tue, Sep 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

83% confidence

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 82.9% Draw 10.6% Al-Ahli Jeddah 6.5%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

86%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Al-Hilal Saudi FC: 16 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.6%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

W W W W W D

Form 5-1-0 Goals 16:4 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 0.67

Al-Ahli Jeddah

L W W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 15:5 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Hilal Saudi FC win82.9%

Draw10.6%

Al-Ahli Jeddah win6.5%

Over 1.5 goals95.9%

Over 2.5 goals86.3%

Over 3.5 goals71.3%

Both teams to score66.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home92.3%

Home or Draw (1X)91.6%

Home or Away (12)89.0%

Both Halves Over 0.582.8%

Goal in Both Halves82.8%

Home Win82.1%

Draw or Away (X2)16.5%

Draw9.6%

Draw No Bet - Away7.7%

Away Win6.9%

Exactly 1 Goal3.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals94.1%

Over 2.5 Goals85.0%

Over 3.5 Goals70.3%

4+ Goals70.3%

Under 5.5 Goals65.2%

Over 4.5 Goals52.3%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Total Goals Odd49.2%

Under 4.5 Goals47.7%

2-4 Goals41.7%

Over 5.5 Goals34.8%

3-4 Goals32.7%

Under 3.5 Goals29.7%

1-3 Goals27.5%

2-3 Goals23.8%

Under 2.5 Goals15.0%

Exactly 3 Goals14.7%

1-2 Goals12.8%

Exactly 2 Goals9.1%

Under 1.5 Goals5.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.2%

Away Team to Score66.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.7%

Home Clean Sheet31.6%

Home Win to Nil30.9%

Away Clean Sheet2.4%

Away Win to Nil1.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.2%

Home Over 1.587.3%

Home Over 2.570.7%

Home 3+ Goals70.7%

Away Over 0.566.9%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Away Exactly 031.6%

Away Over 1.531.0%

Away Exactly 220.4%

Home Exactly 216.6%

Away Over 2.510.5%

Away 3+ Goals10.5%

Home Exactly 18.9%

Home Exactly 02.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)82.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)81.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away81.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)67.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away67.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)67.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home67.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)49.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away49.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)48.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home48.7%

Home to win by 3+48.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)31.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away31.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)31.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home31.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.3%

Home to win by 218.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home17.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)16.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away16.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.1%

Home to win by 115.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.6%

Away to win by 14.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.7%

Away to win by 21.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.573.9%

BTTS & Over 2.562.1%

Home & BTTS51.2%

Home & No BTTS30.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.3%

Draw & BTTS8.8%

Home & Under 2.58.2%

Draw & Over 2.55.6%

Away & Over 2.55.5%

Away & BTTS5.3%

Draw & Under 2.54.0%

BTTS & Under 2.53.2%

Away & No BTTS1.6%

Away & Under 2.51.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.9%

HT Home Win66.2%

HT Over 1.564.4%

HT/FT Home/Home62.8%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Under 1.535.6%

HT Both Teams Score32.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw23.0%

Equal Goals Each Half18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.3%

HT Under 0.511.1%

HT Away Win10.8%

HT/FT Away/Home4.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Away/Away3.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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