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Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Faisaly FC

Kick-off 19:00 · Fri, Aug 14
📊 Our Prediction
Home Win
80% confidence
Al-Hilal Saudi FC 80.0% Draw 15.0% Al-Faisaly FC 5.0%
Over 2.5 - 53% BTTS - 34%
🎯 Best Pick
Home Win
Strong home form
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
82%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Over 1.5 Goals
High xG values
80%
Home Clean Sheet
Defensive strength
75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Al-Hilal Saudi FC has a strong home record with 2 goals scored per game and no goals conceded at home. Their attacking threat is high with an xG of 2.277. Al-Faisaly FC lacks historical data, but Al-Hilal's defensive strength suggests a clean sheet is possible. With Al-Hilal's home advantage and strong form, they are likely to win.
💡
Top Tip
Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win at home
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 17.1%, based on the goal model.
Strong home form
Numbers behind this Home Win
Most likely score
2-0
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
17.1%
Exact-score model probability
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
W W D W W
Form 4-1-0 Goals 9:2 Scored/game 1.8 Conceded/game 0.4
Al-Faisaly FC
No recent results stored yet

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Hilal Saudi FC win80.0%
Draw15.0%
Al-Faisaly FC win5.0%
Over 1.5 goals76.3%
Over 2.5 goals53.0%
Over 3.5 goals28.9%
Both teams to score33.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score
89.7%
Home Over 0.5
89.7%
Under 4.5 Goals
86.1%
Match Result (11)
Home or Draw (1X)94.3%
Draw No Bet - Home93.3%
Home or Away (12)84.9%
Home Win79.2%
Both Halves Over 0.554.7%
Goal in Both Halves54.7%
Draw or Away (X2)20.7%
Exactly 1 Goal18.0%
Draw15.1%
Draw No Bet - Away6.7%
Away Win5.6%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Under 5.5 Goals94.2%
Over 0.5 Goals93.3%
Under 4.5 Goals86.1%
Over 1.5 Goals75.4%
Under 3.5 Goals71.1%
1-3 Goals64.4%
2-4 Goals61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals51.0%
Total Goals Even50.2%
Total Goals Odd49.7%
Under 2.5 Goals49.0%
2-3 Goals46.5%
1-2 Goals42.3%
3-4 Goals37.1%
Over 3.5 Goals28.9%
4+ Goals28.9%
Under 1.5 Goals24.6%
Exactly 2 Goals24.4%
Exactly 3 Goals22.1%
Over 4.5 Goals13.9%
Under 0.5 Goals6.7%
Exactly 0 Goals6.6%
Over 5.5 Goals5.8%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Home Team to Score89.7%
No Both Teams Score (NG)68.1%
Home Clean Sheet64.4%
Home Win to Nil57.8%
Away Team to Score35.6%
Both Teams Score (GG)31.9%
Away Clean Sheet10.3%
Away Win to Nil3.7%
Team Goals (14)
Home Over 0.589.7%
Home Over 1.566.3%
Away Exactly 064.4%
Home Over 2.539.7%
Home 3+ Goals39.7%
Away Over 0.535.6%
Away Exactly 128.3%
Home Exactly 226.6%
Home Exactly 123.4%
Home Exactly 010.3%
Away Over 1.57.3%
Away Exactly 26.2%
Away Over 2.51.0%
Away 3+ Goals1.0%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.8%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.9%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.9%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.3%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.3%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.9%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.9%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.9%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.9%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)79.2%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)68.3%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away68.3%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)55.3%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home55.3%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)44.7%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away44.7%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)31.7%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home31.7%
Home to win by 3+31.7%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.0%
Home to win by 124.0%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw23.6%
Home to win by 223.6%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)20.7%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away20.7%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.6%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.0%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.0%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)5.6%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.6%
Away to win by 14.6%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.0%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.1%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.0%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.0%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.9%
Away to win by 20.9%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%
Away to win by 3+0.1%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%
Combos (15)
Home & No BTTS57.8%
Home & Over 2.547.0%
No BTTS & Under 2.542.3%
Home & Under 2.532.2%
No BTTS & Over 2.525.7%
BTTS & Over 2.525.3%
Home & BTTS21.5%
Draw & Under 2.513.2%
Draw & BTTS8.5%
BTTS & Under 2.56.6%
Away & No BTTS3.7%
Away & Under 2.53.5%
Away & Over 2.52.1%
Away & BTTS2.0%
Draw & Over 2.51.9%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.570.6%
HT Under 1.565.4%
HT Home Win57.2%
HT/FT Home/Home54.7%
2nd Half More Goals43.5%
HT Draw35.7%
HT Over 1.534.6%
1st Half More Goals31.1%
HT Under 0.529.4%
Equal Goals Each Half25.5%
HT/FT Draw/Home22.6%
HT Both Teams Score11.5%
HT/FT Draw/Draw10.6%
HT Away Win7.1%
HT/FT Away/Away2.8%
HT/FT Draw/Away2.5%
HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%
HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%
HT/FT Away/Home2.0%
HT/FT Home/Away0.3%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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