Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Hazm

Kick-off 19:00 · Mon, Oct 19

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

86% confidence

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 85.9% Draw 9.0% Al-Hazm 5.1%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

88%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Al-Hilal Saudi FC: 15 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.2%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

L W W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 17:5 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 0.83

Al-Hazm

D W W L D L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 1

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1wins ·0 draws ·Al-Hazm 0wins

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3-0 Al-HazmMay 2, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Hilal Saudi FC win85.9%

Draw9.0%

Al-Hazm win5.1%

Over 1.5 goals96.5%

Over 2.5 goals87.9%

Over 3.5 goals74.0%

Both teams to score65.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

89.8%

HT Over 0.5

89.8%

Home Over 1.5

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home94.0%

Home or Draw (1X)92.5%

Home or Away (12)89.8%

Home Win84.5%

Both Halves Over 0.584.3%

Goal in Both Halves84.3%

Draw or Away (X2)13.4%

Draw8.1%

Draw No Bet - Away6.0%

Away Win5.4%

Exactly 1 Goal3.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals94.1%

Over 2.5 Goals86.0%

Over 3.5 Goals72.4%

4+ Goals72.4%

Under 5.5 Goals62.4%

Over 4.5 Goals55.2%

Total Goals Even49.0%

Total Goals Odd48.9%

Under 4.5 Goals44.8%

2-4 Goals38.9%

Over 5.5 Goals37.6%

3-4 Goals30.9%

Under 3.5 Goals27.6%

1-3 Goals24.8%

2-3 Goals21.6%

Under 2.5 Goals14.0%

Exactly 3 Goals13.6%

1-2 Goals11.2%

Exactly 2 Goals8.0%

Under 1.5 Goals5.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score64.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.6%

Home Clean Sheet33.2%

Home Win to Nil32.6%

Away Clean Sheet1.8%

Away Win to Nil1.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.588.7%

Home Over 2.574.0%

Home 3+ Goals74.0%

Away Over 0.564.6%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Away Exactly 033.2%

Away Over 1.528.7%

Away Exactly 219.4%

Home Exactly 214.7%

Away Over 2.59.4%

Away 3+ Goals9.4%

Home Exactly 17.3%

Home Exactly 01.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)87.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)84.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)76.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away76.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)71.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home71.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)62.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away62.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)53.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home53.6%

Home to win by 3+53.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)44.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away44.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)35.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home35.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)26.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away26.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)20.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home20.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.4%

Home to win by 217.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.5%

Home to win by 113.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away13.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw10.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home10.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.6%

Away to win by 13.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.3%

Away to win by 21.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.577.0%

BTTS & Over 2.560.7%

Home & BTTS51.8%

Home & No BTTS32.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.525.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.1%

Home & Under 2.57.5%

Draw & BTTS7.4%

Draw & Over 2.54.7%

Away & Over 2.54.3%

Away & BTTS4.1%

Draw & Under 2.53.3%

BTTS & Under 2.52.7%

Away & No BTTS1.2%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.8%

HT Home Win69.5%

HT Over 1.566.6%

HT/FT Home/Home66.6%

2nd Half More Goals49.8%

HT Under 1.533.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score32.1%

HT Draw21.2%

Equal Goals Each Half17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.8%

HT Under 0.510.2%

HT Away Win9.3%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Away/Away2.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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