Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC

Kick-off 19:00 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 70.6% Draw 14.7% Al-Ittihad FC 14.7%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Hilal Saudi FC: 15 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

L W W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 17:5 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 0.83

Al-Ittihad FC

W W W D D L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Hilal Saudi FC win70.6%

Draw14.7%

Al-Ittihad FC win14.7%

Over 1.5 goals96.6%

Over 2.5 goals88.0%

Over 3.5 goals74.2%

Both teams to score78.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

89.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

88.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

88.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)85.4%

Both Halves Over 0.584.3%

Goal in Both Halves84.3%

Home or Draw (1X)84.2%

Draw No Bet - Home82.5%

Home Win70.5%

Draw or Away (X2)28.6%

Draw No Bet - Away17.5%

Away Win14.9%

Draw13.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals95.3%

Over 2.5 Goals87.2%

Over 3.5 Goals73.6%

4+ Goals73.6%

Under 5.5 Goals61.2%

Over 4.5 Goals56.3%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Under 4.5 Goals43.7%

2-4 Goals39.0%

Over 5.5 Goals38.8%

3-4 Goals30.9%

Under 3.5 Goals26.4%

1-3 Goals24.9%

2-3 Goals21.7%

Exactly 3 Goals13.6%

Under 2.5 Goals12.8%

1-2 Goals11.3%

Exactly 2 Goals8.1%

Under 1.5 Goals4.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score80.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.6%

Home Clean Sheet19.1%

Home Win to Nil18.4%

Away Clean Sheet3.3%

Away Win to Nil2.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.584.7%

Away Over 0.580.1%

Home Over 2.565.6%

Home 3+ Goals65.6%

Away Over 1.548.6%

Away Exactly 131.4%

Away Exactly 225.9%

Away Over 2.522.7%

Away 3+ Goals22.7%

Home Exactly 219.1%

Away Exactly 019.1%

Home Exactly 111.2%

Home Exactly 03.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)94.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away88.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)78.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away78.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)70.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)64.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away64.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)53.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home53.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)46.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away46.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)35.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home35.2%

Home to win by 3+35.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)28.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away28.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.8%

Home to win by 217.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.5%

Home to win by 117.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)14.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.4%

Away to win by 18.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.1%

Away to win by 24.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.4%

Away to win by 3+2.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.573.9%

Home & Over 2.564.7%

Home & BTTS52.0%

Home & No BTTS18.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.4%

Away & Over 2.513.1%

Draw & BTTS13.1%

Away & BTTS12.3%

Draw & Over 2.59.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.3%

Home & Under 2.55.8%

Draw & Under 2.54.2%

BTTS & Under 2.53.5%

Away & No BTTS2.6%

Away & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.8%

HT Over 1.566.5%

HT Home Win56.4%

HT/FT Home/Home50.6%

2nd Half More Goals49.8%

HT Both Teams Score41.1%

HT Under 1.533.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw25.7%

HT Away Win18.0%

Equal Goals Each Half17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.5%

HT Under 0.510.2%

HT/FT Away/Away8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Away/Home5.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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