Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs NEOM

Kick-off 19:00 · Mon, Sep 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90% confidence

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 89.5% Draw 7.7% NEOM 2.8%

Over 2.5 - 82% BTTS - 50%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

92%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 10.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Hilal Saudi FC: 18 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.2%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

W W W W W W

Form 6-0-0 Goals 18:3 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 0.5

NEOM

W L W W D L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 1

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1wins ·0 draws ·NEOM 0wins

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2-0 NEOMMay 16, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Hilal Saudi FC win89.5%

Draw7.7%

NEOM win2.8%

Over 1.5 goals94.1%

Over 2.5 goals82.2%

Over 3.5 goals65.0%

Both teams to score49.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

91.7%

Home Win

88.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

88.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.5%

Home or Draw (1X)95.3%

Home or Away (12)91.7%

Home Win88.5%

Both Halves Over 0.579.3%

Goal in Both Halves79.3%

Draw or Away (X2)10.0%

Draw6.8%

Exactly 1 Goal5.1%

Draw No Bet - Away3.5%

Away Win3.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals92.2%

Over 2.5 Goals80.9%

Under 5.5 Goals72.1%

Over 3.5 Goals63.9%

4+ Goals63.9%

Under 4.5 Goals55.1%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

2-4 Goals47.3%

Over 4.5 Goals44.9%

Under 3.5 Goals36.1%

3-4 Goals36.0%

1-3 Goals33.4%

2-3 Goals28.3%

Over 5.5 Goals27.9%

Under 2.5 Goals19.1%

Exactly 3 Goals17.0%

1-2 Goals16.4%

Exactly 2 Goals11.3%

Under 1.5 Goals7.8%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)51.6%

Away Team to Score49.6%

Home Clean Sheet48.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)48.4%

Home Win to Nil47.8%

Away Clean Sheet2.3%

Away Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.2%

Home Over 1.587.6%

Home Over 2.571.3%

Home 3+ Goals71.3%

Away Over 0.549.6%

Away Exactly 048.9%

Away Exactly 134.2%

Home Exactly 216.3%

Away Over 1.515.3%

Away Exactly 212.0%

Home Exactly 18.6%

Away Over 2.53.4%

Away 3+ Goals3.4%

Home Exactly 02.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)88.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)87.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)76.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away76.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)75.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home75.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)60.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away60.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)57.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home57.4%

Home to win by 3+57.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)41.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away41.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)38.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home38.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)23.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away23.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)22.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home22.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 218.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.1%

Home to win by 113.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home11.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away10.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.4%

Away to win by 12.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.6%

Away to win by 20.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.576.1%

Home & No BTTS47.8%

BTTS & Over 2.545.4%

Home & BTTS40.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.535.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.5%

Home & Under 2.512.4%

Draw & BTTS5.7%

Draw & Under 2.54.1%

BTTS & Under 2.53.0%

Draw & Over 2.52.7%

Away & Over 2.52.1%

Away & BTTS2.0%

Away & Under 2.51.1%

Away & No BTTS1.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.7%

HT Home Win72.3%

HT/FT Home/Home70.4%

HT Over 1.559.9%

2nd Half More Goals48.6%

HT Under 1.540.1%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score22.1%

HT Draw21.4%

Equal Goals Each Half19.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.6%

HT Under 0.513.3%

HT Away Win6.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

HT/FT Away/Away1.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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