Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah

Kick-off 16:30 · Fri, Oct 23

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Al-Ittihad FC 19.8% Draw 22.4% Al Diriyah 57.8%

Over 2.5 - 67% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Ittihad FC: 11 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.6%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Ittihad FC

W W W D D L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Al Diriyah

W W D L

Form 2-1-1 Goals 6:3 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.75

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Ittihad FC win19.8%

Draw22.4%

Al Diriyah win57.8%

Over 1.5 goals86.8%

Over 2.5 goals66.6%

Over 3.5 goals44.8%

Both teams to score64.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

91.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.8%

Draw or Away (X2)79.0%

Draw No Bet - Away73.8%

Both Halves Over 0.566.7%

Goal in Both Halves66.7%

Away Win58.9%

Home or Draw (1X)41.1%

Draw No Bet - Home26.2%

Home Win20.9%

Draw20.2%

Exactly 1 Goal11.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.7%

Under 5.5 Goals86.7%

Over 1.5 Goals85.6%

Under 4.5 Goals73.9%

Over 2.5 Goals66.6%

2-4 Goals59.5%

Under 3.5 Goals55.2%

1-3 Goals51.9%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals44.8%

4+ Goals44.8%

2-3 Goals40.8%

3-4 Goals40.5%

Under 2.5 Goals33.4%

1-2 Goals30.1%

Over 4.5 Goals26.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Exactly 2 Goals19.0%

Under 1.5 Goals14.4%

Over 5.5 Goals13.3%

Under 0.5 Goals3.3%

Exactly 0 Goals3.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score88.8%

Home Team to Score71.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.9%

Away Clean Sheet28.9%

Away Win to Nil25.6%

Home Clean Sheet11.2%

Home Win to Nil8.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.588.8%

Home Over 0.571.1%

Away Over 1.564.3%

Away Over 2.537.4%

Away 3+ Goals37.4%

Home Exactly 135.9%

Home Over 1.535.2%

Home Exactly 028.9%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 124.5%

Home Exactly 222.3%

Home Over 2.513.0%

Home 3+ Goals13.0%

Away Exactly 011.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)91.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home91.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)80.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home80.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)79.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away79.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)63.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home63.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)58.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)41.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home41.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)36.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away36.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw22.2%

Away to win by 122.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)20.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)19.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away19.0%

Away to win by 3+19.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.7%

Away to win by 217.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.6%

Home to win by 112.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw10.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)8.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away8.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.7%

Home to win by 25.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away3.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.6%

Home to win by 3+2.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.554.3%

Away & Over 2.544.1%

Away & BTTS33.2%

Away & No BTTS25.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.6%

Draw & BTTS16.9%

Away & Under 2.514.8%

Home & Over 2.514.4%

Home & BTTS13.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.3%

Draw & Under 2.512.0%

BTTS & Under 2.58.8%

Draw & Over 2.58.1%

Home & No BTTS8.0%

Home & Under 2.56.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.7%

HT Under 1.554.3%

2nd Half More Goals46.0%

HT Over 1.545.7%

HT Away Win44.8%

HT/FT Away/Away38.3%

HT Draw34.8%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score26.8%

Equal Goals Each Half22.2%

HT Under 0.521.3%

HT Home Win20.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.9%

HT/FT Home/Home11.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home7.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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