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Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Kholood

Kick-off 19:00 · Sat, Aug 15
📊 Our Prediction
Home +3.5 (Handicap)
55% confidence
Al-Ittihad FC 55.1% Draw 34.3% Al Kholood 10.6%
Over 2.5 - 20% BTTS - 23%
🎯 Best Pick
Under 2.5 Goals
AI verdict (fallback)
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
92%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 25%, based on the goal model.
AI verdict (fallback)
Recent form leans to Al-Ittihad FC: 10 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.
Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
1-0
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
25%
Exact-score model probability
Al-Ittihad FC
L L W W D W
Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67
Al Kholood
D L D D D
Form 0-4-1 Goals 1:4 Scored/game 0.2 Conceded/game 0.8
Head to head · last 1
Al-Ittihad FC 0wins ·1 draws ·Al Kholood 0wins
Al-Ittihad FC 0-0 Al KholoodMay 4, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Ittihad FC win55.1%
Draw34.3%
Al Kholood win10.6%
Over 1.5 goals46.7%
Over 2.5 goals20.1%
Over 3.5 goals7.0%
Both teams to score22.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)
91.4%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away
91.4%
Home or Draw (1X)
88.2%
Match Result (11)
Home or Draw (1X)88.2%
Draw No Bet - Home82.6%
Home or Away (12)68.1%
Home Win56.3%
Draw or Away (X2)43.7%
Exactly 1 Goal33.0%
Draw31.9%
Both Halves Over 0.528.5%
Goal in Both Halves28.5%
Draw No Bet - Away17.4%
Away Win11.8%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Under 5.5 Goals99.5%
Under 4.5 Goals98.0%
Under 3.5 Goals93.0%
Under 2.5 Goals79.9%
Over 0.5 Goals78.5%
1-3 Goals71.5%
1-2 Goals58.4%
Under 1.5 Goals54.5%
Total Goals Even52.3%
Total Goals Odd47.7%
Over 1.5 Goals45.5%
2-4 Goals43.4%
2-3 Goals38.4%
Exactly 2 Goals25.4%
Under 0.5 Goals21.5%
Exactly 0 Goals21.5%
Over 2.5 Goals20.1%
3-4 Goals18.0%
Exactly 3 Goals13.0%
Over 3.5 Goals7.0%
4+ Goals7.0%
Over 4.5 Goals2.0%
Over 5.5 Goals0.5%
BTTS & Defence (8)
No Both Teams Score (NG)78.6%
Home Clean Sheet68.9%
Home Team to Score68.8%
Home Win to Nil47.4%
Away Clean Sheet31.2%
Away Team to Score31.1%
Both Teams Score (GG)21.4%
Away Win to Nil9.7%
Team Goals (14)
Away Exactly 068.9%
Home Over 0.568.8%
Home Exactly 136.3%
Home Over 1.532.5%
Home Exactly 031.2%
Away Over 0.531.1%
Away Exactly 125.7%
Home Exactly 221.2%
Home Over 2.511.3%
Home 3+ Goals11.3%
Away Over 1.55.4%
Away Exactly 24.8%
Away Over 2.50.7%
Away 3+ Goals0.7%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.8%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.0%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.0%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.7%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.7%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)91.4%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away91.4%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.2%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.2%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)74.6%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away74.6%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)56.3%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)43.7%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away43.7%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw30.9%
Home to win by 130.9%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.4%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.8%
Home to win by 216.8%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.8%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.9%
Away to win by 19.9%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)8.6%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home8.6%
Home to win by 3+8.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.3%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.3%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.3%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.0%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.8%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.7%
Away to win by 21.7%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%
Away to win by 3+0.2%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%
Combos (15)
No BTTS & Under 2.570.6%
Home & No BTTS47.4%
Home & Under 2.539.6%
Draw & Under 2.530.8%
Home & Over 2.516.7%
BTTS & Over 2.512.1%
Draw & BTTS10.4%
Away & No BTTS9.7%
Away & Under 2.59.5%
BTTS & Under 2.59.3%
Home & BTTS8.9%
No BTTS & Over 2.58.0%
Away & Over 2.52.3%
Away & BTTS2.1%
Draw & Over 2.51.1%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Under 1.584.7%
HT Draw54.6%
HT Under 0.550.1%
HT Over 0.549.9%
2nd Half More Goals36.5%
Equal Goals Each Half36.0%
HT Home Win35.9%
HT/FT Home/Home33.0%
1st Half More Goals27.5%
HT/FT Draw/Draw26.6%
HT/FT Draw/Home22.3%
HT Over 1.515.3%
HT Away Win9.5%
HT Both Teams Score6.3%
HT/FT Away/Away5.9%
HT/FT Draw/Away5.7%
HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%
HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%
HT/FT Away/Home1.0%
HT/FT Home/Away0.3%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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