Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab

Kick-off 19:00 · Fri, Oct 16

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

73% confidence

Al-Ittihad FC 73.2% Draw 15.9% Al Shabab 10.9%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

89%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Ittihad FC: 11 points versus 2 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.4%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Ittihad FC

W W W D D L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Al Shabab

L L D D L L

Form 0-2-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 1

Al-Ittihad FC 0wins ·0 draws ·Al Shabab 1wins

Al-Ittihad FC 2-3 Al ShababMay 17, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Ittihad FC win73.2%

Draw15.9%

Al Shabab win10.9%

Over 1.5 goals91.8%

Over 2.5 goals76.7%

Over 3.5 goals57.3%

Both teams to score64.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

91.0%

Over 1.5 Goals

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.0%

Draw No Bet - Home86.3%

Home or Away (12)85.3%

Both Halves Over 0.574.7%

Goal in Both Halves74.7%

Home Win73.7%

Draw or Away (X2)26.0%

Draw14.4%

Draw No Bet - Away13.7%

Away Win11.6%

Exactly 1 Goal7.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.8%

Under 5.5 Goals78.2%

Over 2.5 Goals76.4%

Under 4.5 Goals62.5%

Over 3.5 Goals57.1%

4+ Goals57.1%

2-4 Goals53.3%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals42.9%

1-3 Goals40.8%

3-4 Goals38.9%

Over 4.5 Goals37.5%

2-3 Goals33.7%

Under 2.5 Goals23.6%

Over 5.5 Goals21.8%

1-2 Goals21.5%

Exactly 3 Goals19.3%

Exactly 2 Goals14.4%

Under 1.5 Goals9.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.3%

Away Team to Score67.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.4%

Home Clean Sheet32.5%

Home Win to Nil30.7%

Away Clean Sheet5.4%

Away Win to Nil3.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.3%

Home Over 1.578.5%

Away Over 0.567.2%

Home Over 2.555.5%

Home 3+ Goals55.5%

Away Exactly 136.4%

Away Exactly 032.5%

Away Over 1.530.8%

Home Exactly 223.0%

Away Exactly 220.4%

Home Exactly 115.8%

Away Over 2.510.4%

Away 3+ Goals10.4%

Home Exactly 05.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away91.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)81.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away81.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)73.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)65.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away65.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)54.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home54.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)45.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away45.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)34.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home34.2%

Home to win by 3+34.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)26.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away26.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.9%

Home to win by 219.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.6%

Home to win by 119.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)18.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home18.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.5%

Away to win by 17.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.9%

Away to win by 22.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.2%

Away to win by 3+1.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.561.0%

BTTS & Over 2.557.8%

Home & BTTS43.0%

Home & No BTTS30.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.5%

Home & Under 2.512.6%

Draw & BTTS12.6%

Away & Over 2.58.6%

Away & BTTS8.0%

Draw & Under 2.57.5%

Draw & Over 2.56.8%

BTTS & Under 2.55.8%

Away & No BTTS3.7%

Away & Under 2.53.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.7%

HT Home Win56.8%

HT Over 1.554.2%

HT/FT Home/Home52.0%

2nd Half More Goals47.6%

HT Under 1.545.8%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score29.0%

HT Draw28.9%

Equal Goals Each Half20.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.8%

HT Under 0.516.3%

HT Away Win14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.1%

HT/FT Away/Away6.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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