Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Kick-off 17:05 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

55% confidence

Al Kholood 10.4% Draw 34.6% Al-Ahli Jeddah 55.0%

Over 2.5 - 19% BTTS - 22%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

90%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 25.4%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Ahli Jeddah: 5 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

25.4%

Exact-score model probability

Al Kholood

D D D L D D

Form 0-5-1 Goals 2:5 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 0.83

Al-Ahli Jeddah

W W W W W L

Form 5-0-1 Goals 14:4 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 1

Al Kholood 0wins ·0 draws ·Al-Ahli Jeddah 1wins

Al Kholood 0-3 Al-Ahli JeddahMay 16, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Kholood win10.4%

Draw34.6%

Al-Ahli Jeddah win55.0%

Over 1.5 goals45.8%

Over 2.5 goals19.4%

Over 3.5 goals6.7%

Both teams to score21.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

91.6%

Draw or Away (X2)

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)88.4%

Draw No Bet - Away82.9%

Home or Away (12)67.8%

Away Win56.2%

Home or Draw (1X)43.8%

Exactly 1 Goal33.3%

Draw32.2%

Both Halves Over 0.527.8%

Goal in Both Halves27.8%

Draw No Bet - Home17.1%

Home Win11.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.5%

Under 4.5 Goals98.1%

Under 3.5 Goals93.3%

Under 2.5 Goals80.6%

Over 0.5 Goals77.9%

1-3 Goals71.2%

1-2 Goals58.5%

Under 1.5 Goals55.4%

Total Goals Even52.4%

Total Goals Odd47.6%

Over 1.5 Goals44.6%

2-4 Goals42.7%

2-3 Goals37.9%

Exactly 2 Goals25.2%

Under 0.5 Goals22.1%

Exactly 0 Goals22.1%

Over 2.5 Goals19.4%

3-4 Goals17.5%

Exactly 3 Goals12.7%

Over 3.5 Goals6.7%

4+ Goals6.7%

Over 4.5 Goals1.9%

Over 5.5 Goals0.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)79.3%

Away Clean Sheet69.7%

Away Team to Score68.3%

Away Win to Nil47.6%

Home Clean Sheet31.7%

Home Team to Score30.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)20.7%

Home Win to Nil9.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 069.7%

Away Over 0.568.3%

Away Exactly 136.4%

Away Over 1.531.9%

Away Exactly 031.7%

Home Over 0.530.3%

Home Exactly 125.2%

Away Exactly 220.9%

Away Over 2.511.0%

Away 3+ Goals11.0%

Home Over 1.55.1%

Home Exactly 24.5%

Home Over 2.50.6%

Home 3+ Goals0.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home91.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away88.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)56.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)43.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home43.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw31.0%

Away to win by 131.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw16.7%

Away to win by 216.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.7%

Home to win by 19.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away8.4%

Away to win by 3+8.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.6%

Home to win by 21.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 3+0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.571.4%

Away & No BTTS47.6%

Away & Under 2.540.0%

Draw & Under 2.531.2%

Away & Over 2.516.2%

BTTS & Over 2.511.5%

Draw & BTTS10.2%

Home & No BTTS9.6%

Home & Under 2.59.4%

BTTS & Under 2.59.2%

Away & BTTS8.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.8%

Home & Over 2.52.2%

Home & BTTS2.0%

Draw & Over 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.585.1%

HT Draw55.0%

HT Under 0.550.7%

HT Over 0.549.3%

Equal Goals Each Half36.4%

2nd Half More Goals36.2%

HT Away Win35.7%

HT/FT Away/Away32.8%

1st Half More Goals27.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw27.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away22.4%

HT Over 1.514.9%

HT Home Win9.3%

HT Both Teams Score6.1%

HT/FT Home/Home5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

HT/FT Away/Home0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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