Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Kholood vs Al-Ettifaq

Kick-off 16:05 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Al Kholood 22.7% Draw 28.3% Al-Ettifaq 49.0%

Over 2.5 - 48% BTTS - 52%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al Kholood: 10 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12%

Exact-score model probability

Al Kholood

W D W D D D

Form 2-4-0 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

Al-Ettifaq

D W L L W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Kholood win22.7%

Draw28.3%

Al-Ettifaq win49.0%

Over 1.5 goals74.7%

Over 2.5 goals48.0%

Over 3.5 goals26.2%

Both teams to score52.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)75.7%

Home or Away (12)74.8%

Draw No Bet - Away67.6%

Both Halves Over 0.552.3%

Goal in Both Halves52.3%

Away Win50.5%

Home or Draw (1X)49.4%

Draw No Bet - Home32.4%

Draw25.2%

Home Win24.3%

Exactly 1 Goal19.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.2%

Over 0.5 Goals92.5%

Under 4.5 Goals87.9%

Under 3.5 Goals73.8%

Over 1.5 Goals73.1%

1-3 Goals66.3%

2-4 Goals61.0%

Under 2.5 Goals52.0%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals48.0%

2-3 Goals46.9%

1-2 Goals44.6%

3-4 Goals35.8%

Under 1.5 Goals26.9%

Over 3.5 Goals26.2%

4+ Goals26.2%

Exactly 2 Goals25.2%

Exactly 3 Goals21.7%

Over 4.5 Goals12.1%

Under 0.5 Goals7.5%

Exactly 0 Goals7.5%

Over 5.5 Goals4.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score79.4%

Home Team to Score63.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)50.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)49.5%

Away Clean Sheet36.3%

Away Win to Nil28.9%

Home Clean Sheet20.6%

Home Win to Nil13.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.579.4%

Home Over 0.563.6%

Away Over 1.546.9%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Home Exactly 036.3%

Away Exactly 132.5%

Home Over 1.526.9%

Away Exactly 225.7%

Away Over 2.521.1%

Away 3+ Goals21.1%

Away Exactly 020.6%

Home Exactly 218.6%

Home Over 2.58.3%

Home 3+ Goals8.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)75.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away75.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)73.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home73.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)50.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)49.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home49.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)26.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away26.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)24.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw24.2%

Away to win by 124.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.5%

Home to win by 115.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.4%

Away to win by 215.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.9%

Away to win by 3+10.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.3%

Home to win by 26.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.4%

Home to win by 3+2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.540.1%

BTTS & Over 2.538.6%

Away & Over 2.529.4%

Away & No BTTS28.9%

Away & BTTS21.7%

Away & Under 2.521.2%

Draw & Under 2.519.5%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

Home & No BTTS13.1%

Home & Over 2.512.9%

BTTS & Under 2.512.0%

Home & Under 2.511.4%

Home & BTTS11.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

Draw & Over 2.55.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.568.9%

HT Under 1.567.5%

2nd Half More Goals43.0%

HT Draw42.1%

HT Away Win37.1%

HT Over 1.532.5%

HT Under 0.531.1%

HT/FT Away/Away30.9%

1st Half More Goals30.8%

Equal Goals Each Half26.2%

HT Home Win20.8%

HT Both Teams Score18.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.6%

HT/FT Home/Home13.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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