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Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC

Kick-off 14:50 · Fri, Oct 9
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
71% confidence
Al Kholood 10.8% Draw 18.2% Al-Qadisiyah FC 71.0%
Over 2.5 - 67% BTTS - 57%
🎯 Best Pick
Draw or Away (X2)
Double chance from Poisson
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
89%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Over 1.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
87%
Away Win
Strongest 1X2 probability
71%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 10.1%, based on the goal model.
Double chance from Poisson
Recent form leans to Al-Qadisiyah FC: 10 points versus 18 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.67 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
0-2
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
10.1%
Exact-score model probability
Al Kholood
W D W D D D
Form 2-4-0 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1
Al-Qadisiyah FC
W W W W W W
Form 6-0-0 Goals 19:4 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Kholood win10.8%
Draw18.2%
Al-Qadisiyah FC win71.0%
Over 1.5 goals86.9%
Over 2.5 goals67.0%
Over 3.5 goals45.3%
Both teams to score56.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score
91.9%
Away Over 0.5
91.9%
Draw or Away (X2)
88.2%
Match Result (11)
Draw or Away (X2)88.2%
Draw No Bet - Away86.0%
Home or Away (12)83.7%
Away Win71.9%
Both Halves Over 0.567.1%
Goal in Both Halves67.1%
Home or Draw (1X)27.9%
Draw16.2%
Draw No Bet - Home14.0%
Home Win11.7%
Exactly 1 Goal10.9%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals96.7%
Under 5.5 Goals86.5%
Over 1.5 Goals85.8%
Under 4.5 Goals73.5%
Over 2.5 Goals67.0%
2-4 Goals59.3%
Under 3.5 Goals54.8%
1-3 Goals51.5%
Total Goals Even50.0%
Total Goals Odd49.9%
Over 3.5 Goals45.2%
4+ Goals45.2%
2-3 Goals40.6%
3-4 Goals40.5%
Under 2.5 Goals33.0%
1-2 Goals29.8%
Over 4.5 Goals26.5%
Exactly 3 Goals21.7%
Exactly 2 Goals18.9%
Under 1.5 Goals14.2%
Over 5.5 Goals13.5%
Under 0.5 Goals3.3%
Exactly 0 Goals3.2%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score91.9%
Home Team to Score60.4%
Both Teams Score (GG)55.6%
No Both Teams Score (NG)44.4%
Away Clean Sheet39.5%
Away Win to Nil36.3%
Home Clean Sheet8.0%
Home Win to Nil4.8%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.591.9%
Away Over 1.571.7%
Home Over 0.560.4%
Away Over 2.546.2%
Away 3+ Goals46.2%
Home Exactly 039.5%
Home Exactly 136.6%
Away Exactly 225.5%
Home Over 1.523.7%
Away Exactly 120.2%
Home Exactly 217.0%
Away Exactly 08.0%
Home Over 2.56.7%
Home 3+ Goals6.7%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.7%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.7%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.0%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.6%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.2%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.2%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.7%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.7%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)88.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away88.2%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)85.2%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home85.2%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)71.9%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)70.4%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home70.4%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)50.1%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away50.1%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)49.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home49.7%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)29.5%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away29.5%
Away to win by 3+29.5%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)27.9%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home27.9%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.8%
Away to win by 121.8%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.7%
Away to win by 220.7%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw14.8%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)14.6%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away14.6%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)11.7%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.4%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.0%
Home to win by 18.0%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.2%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.0%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)3.7%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home3.7%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.8%
Home to win by 22.8%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.2%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.2%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.9%
Home to win by 3+0.9%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.7%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.2%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%
Combos (15)
Away & Over 2.553.9%
BTTS & Over 2.548.2%
Away & No BTTS36.3%
Away & BTTS35.6%
No BTTS & Under 2.525.5%
No BTTS & Over 2.518.8%
Away & Under 2.518.1%
Draw & BTTS13.1%
Draw & Under 2.510.6%
Home & Over 2.57.4%
BTTS & Under 2.57.4%
Home & BTTS6.9%
Draw & Over 2.55.7%
Home & No BTTS4.8%
Home & Under 2.54.3%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.578.9%
HT Away Win54.0%
HT Under 1.554.0%
HT/FT Away/Away49.4%
HT Over 1.546.0%
2nd Half More Goals46.0%
HT Draw32.4%
1st Half More Goals31.8%
HT Both Teams Score23.2%
Equal Goals Each Half22.1%
HT Under 0.521.1%
HT/FT Draw/Away19.1%
HT Home Win13.6%
HT/FT Draw/Draw8.9%
HT/FT Home/Home6.4%
HT/FT Draw/Home4.4%
HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%
HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%
HT/FT Home/Away3.6%
HT/FT Away/Home1.0%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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