Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Kholood vs Al Shabab

Kick-off 16:55 · Wed, Sep 9

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

63% confidence

Al Kholood 62.9% Draw 25.9% Al Shabab 11.2%

Over 2.5 - 40% BTTS - 38%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

89%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

63%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 17.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al Kholood: 7 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

17.3%

Exact-score model probability

Al Kholood

D W D D D L

Form 1-4-1 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Al Shabab

L D D L L W

Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:11 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Kholood win62.9%

Draw25.9%

Al Shabab win11.2%

Over 1.5 goals67.8%

Over 2.5 goals39.8%

Over 3.5 goals19.6%

Both teams to score37.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

91.9%

Over 0.5 Goals

89.8%

Home or Draw (1X)

87.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)87.5%

Draw No Bet - Home83.7%

Home or Away (12)76.7%

Home Win64.2%

Both Halves Over 0.545.8%

Goal in Both Halves45.8%

Draw or Away (X2)35.8%

Draw23.3%

Exactly 1 Goal23.3%

Draw No Bet - Away16.3%

Away Win12.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals97.1%

Under 4.5 Goals91.9%

Over 0.5 Goals89.8%

Under 3.5 Goals80.4%

1-3 Goals70.1%

Over 1.5 Goals66.4%

Under 2.5 Goals60.2%

2-4 Goals58.3%

Total Goals Even50.5%

1-2 Goals49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

2-3 Goals46.8%

Over 2.5 Goals39.8%

Under 1.5 Goals33.6%

3-4 Goals31.7%

Exactly 2 Goals26.6%

Exactly 3 Goals20.2%

Over 3.5 Goals19.6%

4+ Goals19.6%

Under 0.5 Goals10.2%

Exactly 0 Goals10.2%

Over 4.5 Goals8.1%

Over 5.5 Goals2.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score81.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)63.7%

Home Clean Sheet55.5%

Home Win to Nil45.2%

Away Team to Score44.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)36.3%

Away Clean Sheet18.5%

Away Win to Nil8.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.581.5%

Away Exactly 055.5%

Home Over 1.550.4%

Away Over 0.544.5%

Away Exactly 132.7%

Home Exactly 131.2%

Home Exactly 226.4%

Home Over 2.524.0%

Home 3+ Goals24.0%

Home Exactly 018.5%

Away Over 1.511.8%

Away Exactly 29.6%

Away Over 2.52.2%

Away 3+ Goals2.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)83.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away83.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)64.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)63.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away63.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)36.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home36.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)35.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away35.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw27.5%

Home to win by 127.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 220.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home16.6%

Home to win by 3+16.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.6%

Away to win by 19.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.4%

Away to win by 22.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.550.0%

Home & No BTTS45.2%

Home & Over 2.532.3%

Home & Under 2.531.9%

BTTS & Over 2.526.1%

Draw & Under 2.520.4%

Home & BTTS19.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.7%

Draw & BTTS13.0%

BTTS & Under 2.510.2%

Away & No BTTS8.2%

Away & Under 2.57.8%

Away & Over 2.54.7%

Away & BTTS4.3%

Draw & Over 2.52.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.572.6%

HT Over 0.564.1%

HT Home Win44.6%

HT Draw43.5%

2nd Half More Goals41.5%

HT/FT Home/Home40.6%

HT Under 0.535.9%

1st Half More Goals30.2%

Equal Goals Each Half28.3%

HT Over 1.527.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.4%

HT Both Teams Score12.4%

HT Away Win12.0%

HT/FT Away/Away6.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.1%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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