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Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Kholood vs Al Taawon

Kick-off 17:10 · Sat, Aug 22
📊 Our Prediction
Home +4.5 (Handicap)
46% confidence
Al Kholood 23.4% Draw 45.9% Al Taawon 30.7%
Over 2.5 - 11% BTTS - 20%
🎯 Best Pick
No Both Teams Score (NG)
AI verdict (fallback)
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
85%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 32.2%, based on the goal model.
AI verdict (fallback)
Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.50 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
0-0
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
32.2%
Exact-score model probability
Al Kholood
D D L D D D
Form 0-5-1 Goals 2:5 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 0.83
Al Taawon
D L D L W L
Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Kholood win23.4%
Draw45.9%
Al Taawon win30.7%
Over 1.5 goals32.6%
Over 2.5 goals10.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.8%
Both teams to score19.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)
91.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home
91.4%
HT Under 1.5
90.7%
Match Result (11)
Draw or Away (X2)75.2%
Home or Draw (1X)68.1%
Home or Away (12)56.7%
Draw No Bet - Away56.3%
Draw No Bet - Home43.7%
Draw43.3%
Exactly 1 Goal36.5%
Away Win31.9%
Home Win24.8%
Both Halves Over 0.518.5%
Goal in Both Halves18.5%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Under 5.5 Goals99.9%
Under 4.5 Goals99.4%
Under 3.5 Goals97.2%
Under 2.5 Goals89.4%
Under 1.5 Goals68.7%
Over 0.5 Goals67.8%
1-3 Goals65.0%
1-2 Goals57.2%
Total Goals Even55.2%
Total Goals Odd44.8%
Under 0.5 Goals32.2%
Exactly 0 Goals32.2%
Over 1.5 Goals31.3%
2-4 Goals30.7%
2-3 Goals28.5%
Exactly 2 Goals20.7%
Over 2.5 Goals10.6%
3-4 Goals10.0%
Exactly 3 Goals7.8%
Over 3.5 Goals2.8%
4+ Goals2.8%
Over 4.5 Goals0.6%
Over 5.5 Goals0.1%
BTTS & Defence (8)
No Both Teams Score (NG)81.5%
Away Clean Sheet60.0%
Home Clean Sheet53.7%
Away Team to Score46.3%
Home Team to Score40.0%
Away Win to Nil27.8%
Home Win to Nil21.5%
Both Teams Score (GG)18.5%
Team Goals (14)
Home Exactly 060.0%
Away Exactly 053.7%
Away Over 0.546.3%
Home Over 0.540.0%
Away Exactly 133.4%
Home Exactly 130.7%
Away Over 1.512.9%
Away Exactly 210.4%
Home Over 1.59.4%
Home Exactly 27.8%
Away Over 2.52.5%
Away 3+ Goals2.5%
Home Over 2.51.5%
Home 3+ Goals1.5%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%
Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.1%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.4%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.4%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.4%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.4%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.4%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)75.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away75.2%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.1%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.1%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.9%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)24.8%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.4%
Away to win by 123.4%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.2%
Home to win by 119.2%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.6%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.6%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.9%
Away to win by 26.9%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.6%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.6%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.7%
Home to win by 24.7%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.6%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.6%
Away to win by 3+1.6%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.4%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.9%
Home to win by 3+0.9%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.8%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%
Combos (15)
No BTTS & Under 2.579.1%
Draw & Under 2.542.4%
Away & No BTTS27.8%
Away & Under 2.526.3%
Home & No BTTS21.5%
Home & Under 2.520.7%
Draw & BTTS11.1%
BTTS & Under 2.510.2%
BTTS & Over 2.58.3%
Away & Over 2.55.7%
Away & BTTS4.2%
Home & Over 2.54.1%
Home & BTTS3.3%
No BTTS & Over 2.52.3%
Draw & Over 2.50.8%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Under 1.590.7%
HT Draw64.0%
HT Under 0.560.1%
Equal Goals Each Half43.3%
HT Over 0.539.9%
HT/FT Draw/Draw37.7%
2nd Half More Goals32.0%
1st Half More Goals24.7%
HT Away Win20.0%
HT/FT Away/Away16.8%
HT Home Win16.0%
HT/FT Draw/Away14.6%
HT/FT Home/Home12.7%
HT/FT Draw/Home11.7%
HT Over 1.59.3%
HT Both Teams Score5.0%
HT/FT Away/Draw2.8%
HT/FT Home/Draw2.8%
HT/FT Home/Away0.5%
HT/FT Away/Home0.4%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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