Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood

Kick-off 19:00 · Thu, Oct 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

86% confidence

Al-Nassr 86.0% Draw 9.9% Al Kholood 4.1%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 52%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

90%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

86%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 10.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Nassr: 15 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.1%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Nassr

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 17:6 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 1

Al Kholood

W D W D D D

Form 2-4-0 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Nassr win86.0%

Draw9.9%

Al Kholood win4.1%

Over 1.5 goals92.9%

Over 2.5 goals79.3%

Over 3.5 goals60.8%

Both teams to score52.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

Home or Away (12)

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home94.9%

Home or Draw (1X)94.4%

Home or Away (12)90.3%

Home Win85.7%

Both Halves Over 0.576.9%

Goal in Both Halves76.9%

Draw or Away (X2)13.4%

Draw8.8%

Exactly 1 Goal6.1%

Draw No Bet - Away5.1%

Away Win4.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals91.5%

Over 2.5 Goals78.5%

Under 5.5 Goals75.7%

Over 3.5 Goals60.2%

4+ Goals60.2%

Under 4.5 Goals59.2%

2-4 Goals50.7%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Over 4.5 Goals40.8%

Under 3.5 Goals39.8%

3-4 Goals37.7%

1-3 Goals37.4%

2-3 Goals31.3%

Over 5.5 Goals24.3%

Under 2.5 Goals21.5%

1-2 Goals19.1%

Exactly 3 Goals18.3%

Exactly 2 Goals13.0%

Under 1.5 Goals8.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score53.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)51.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)48.6%

Home Clean Sheet46.0%

Home Win to Nil44.5%

Away Clean Sheet3.1%

Away Win to Nil1.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.585.1%

Home Over 2.566.4%

Home 3+ Goals66.4%

Away Over 0.553.1%

Away Exactly 046.0%

Away Exactly 135.3%

Home Exactly 218.7%

Away Over 1.517.8%

Away Exactly 213.6%

Home Exactly 110.8%

Away Over 2.54.3%

Away 3+ Goals4.3%

Home Exactly 03.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)91.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)85.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away81.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)70.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home70.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)67.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away67.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)50.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home50.8%

Home to win by 3+50.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)48.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away48.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)31.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home31.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)28.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away28.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.5%

Home to win by 219.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home17.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 115.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away13.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.4%

Away to win by 13.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.0%

Away to win by 21.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.572.0%

BTTS & Over 2.547.6%

Home & No BTTS44.5%

Home & BTTS41.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.530.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.7%

Home & Under 2.513.7%

Draw & BTTS7.3%

Draw & Under 2.55.3%

BTTS & Under 2.53.9%

Draw & Over 2.53.5%

Away & Over 2.53.1%

Away & BTTS2.9%

Away & No BTTS1.7%

Away & Under 2.51.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.1%

HT Home Win68.1%

HT/FT Home/Home65.6%

HT Over 1.556.8%

2nd Half More Goals48.0%

HT Under 1.543.2%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw24.0%

HT Both Teams Score23.1%

Equal Goals Each Half19.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.6%

HT Under 0.514.9%

HT Away Win7.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

HT/FT Away/Away2.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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