Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Kick-off 19:00 · Tue, Sep 8

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

89% confidence

Al-Qadisiyah FC 88.9% Draw 7.1% Al-Ahli Jeddah 4.0%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

92%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

89%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Al-Qadisiyah FC: 18 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Qadisiyah FC

W W W W W W

Form 6-0-0 Goals 19:4 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Al-Ahli Jeddah

W L L W W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 14:7 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Qadisiyah FC win88.9%

Draw7.1%

Al-Ahli Jeddah win4.0%

Over 1.5 goals97.8%

Over 2.5 goals91.6%

Over 3.5 goals80.4%

Both teams to score67.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

92.0%

Home or Draw (1X)

91.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home95.4%

Home or Draw (1X)91.9%

Home or Away (12)89.7%

Both Halves Over 0.587.9%

Goal in Both Halves87.9%

Home Win85.6%

Draw or Away (X2)10.4%

Draw6.3%

Draw No Bet - Away4.6%

Away Win4.1%

Exactly 1 Goal2.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.6%

Over 2.5 Goals87.9%

Over 3.5 Goals77.2%

4+ Goals77.2%

Over 4.5 Goals62.2%

Under 5.5 Goals54.8%

Total Goals Even48.1%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Over 5.5 Goals45.2%

Under 4.5 Goals37.8%

2-4 Goals31.4%

3-4 Goals25.7%

Under 3.5 Goals22.8%

1-3 Goals18.4%

2-3 Goals16.4%

Under 2.5 Goals12.1%

Exactly 3 Goals10.7%

1-2 Goals7.7%

Under 1.5 Goals6.4%

Exactly 2 Goals5.7%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score64.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.9%

Home Clean Sheet31.1%

Home Win to Nil30.8%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 0.564.8%

Away Exactly 135.0%

Away Exactly 031.1%

Away Over 1.529.8%

Away Exactly 219.7%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Over 2.510.1%

Away 3+ Goals10.1%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)85.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)82.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)74.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home74.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)69.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away69.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)59.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home59.1%

Home to win by 3+59.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)54.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away54.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)42.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home42.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)36.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away36.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)26.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home26.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away21.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home14.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw12.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.1%

Home to win by 111.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away10.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.8%

Away to win by 12.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.0%

Away to win by 21.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away to win by 3+0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.580.3%

BTTS & Over 2.562.3%

Home & BTTS54.8%

Home & No BTTS30.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.525.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.3%

Draw & BTTS5.9%

Home & Under 2.55.3%

Draw & Over 2.54.1%

Away & Over 2.53.4%

Away & BTTS3.3%

Draw & Under 2.52.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Away & No BTTS0.8%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.0%

HT Home Win73.4%

HT Over 1.571.9%

HT/FT Home/Home71.0%

2nd Half More Goals50.7%

HT Both Teams Score34.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.1%

HT Draw18.5%

Equal Goals Each Half16.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.4%

HT Away Win8.2%

HT Under 0.58.0%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Away/Away2.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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