Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq

Kick-off 16:25 · Fri, Sep 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

68% confidence

Al-Qadisiyah FC 67.8% Draw 16.8% Al-Ettifaq 15.4%

Over 2.5 - 82% BTTS - 73%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al-Qadisiyah FC: 18 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.6%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Qadisiyah FC

W W W W W W

Form 6-0-0 Goals 19:4 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Al-Ettifaq

D W L L W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Qadisiyah FC win67.8%

Draw16.8%

Al-Ettifaq win15.4%

Over 1.5 goals94.2%

Over 2.5 goals81.9%

Over 3.5 goals64.6%

Both teams to score73.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

92.0%

HT Over 0.5

86.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)84.2%

Home or Draw (1X)83.6%

Draw No Bet - Home81.0%

Both Halves Over 0.578.9%

Goal in Both Halves78.9%

Home Win68.2%

Draw or Away (X2)31.4%

Draw No Bet - Away19.0%

Away Win16.0%

Draw15.4%

Exactly 1 Goal5.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals93.2%

Over 2.5 Goals81.6%

Under 5.5 Goals71.7%

Over 3.5 Goals64.4%

4+ Goals64.4%

Under 4.5 Goals54.7%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

2-4 Goals47.9%

Over 4.5 Goals45.3%

3-4 Goals36.3%

Under 3.5 Goals35.6%

1-3 Goals34.1%

2-3 Goals28.8%

Over 5.5 Goals28.3%

Under 2.5 Goals18.4%

Exactly 3 Goals17.2%

1-2 Goals16.9%

Exactly 2 Goals11.6%

Under 1.5 Goals6.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.6%

Away Team to Score76.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.5%

Home Clean Sheet23.3%

Home Win to Nil22.1%

Away Clean Sheet5.0%

Away Win to Nil3.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.6%

Home Over 1.579.5%

Away Over 0.576.3%

Home Over 2.557.0%

Home 3+ Goals57.0%

Away Over 1.542.5%

Away Exactly 133.9%

Away Exactly 224.6%

Away Exactly 023.3%

Home Exactly 222.5%

Away Over 2.517.9%

Away 3+ Goals17.9%

Home Exactly 115.1%

Home Exactly 05.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)96.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)83.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home83.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)68.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)50.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away50.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)49.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home49.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)31.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away31.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.6%

Home to win by 3+30.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 119.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 218.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)16.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home16.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)16.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw9.3%

Away to win by 19.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw4.4%

Away to win by 24.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.3%

Away to win by 3+2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.567.3%

Home & Over 2.559.4%

Home & BTTS46.1%

Home & No BTTS22.1%

Draw & BTTS14.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.2%

Away & Over 2.513.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.9%

Away & BTTS12.1%

Draw & Over 2.59.1%

Home & Under 2.58.8%

Draw & Under 2.56.3%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Away & No BTTS3.9%

Away & Under 2.53.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.4%

HT Over 1.559.3%

HT Home Win53.5%

2nd Half More Goals48.5%

HT/FT Home/Home47.5%

HT Under 1.540.7%

HT Both Teams Score35.5%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.4%

Equal Goals Each Half19.2%

HT Away Win18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.3%

HT Under 0.513.6%

HT/FT Away/Away9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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