Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ittihad FC

Kick-off 19:00 · Fri, Aug 21

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

86% confidence

Al-Qadisiyah FC 86.2% Draw 8.2% Al-Ittihad FC 5.6%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Al-Qadisiyah FC: 18 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.6%

Exact-score model probability

Al-Qadisiyah FC

W W W W W W

Form 6-0-0 Goals 19:4 Scored/game 3.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Al-Ittihad FC

D L L W W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:11 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.83

Head to head · last 1

Al-Qadisiyah FC 1wins ·0 draws ·Al-Ittihad FC 0wins

Al-Qadisiyah FC 5-1 Al-Ittihad FCMay 21, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al-Qadisiyah FC win86.2%

Draw8.2%

Al-Ittihad FC win5.6%

Over 1.5 goals98.2%

Over 2.5 goals92.8%

Over 3.5 goals82.8%

Both teams to score73.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

90.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home93.6%

Home or Draw (1X)90.3%

Both Halves Over 0.589.1%

Goal in Both Halves89.1%

Home or Away (12)88.6%

Home Win83.0%

Draw or Away (X2)13.0%

Draw7.4%

Draw No Bet - Away6.4%

Away Win5.6%

Exactly 1 Goal1.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.7%

Over 1.5 Goals94.0%

Over 2.5 Goals89.1%

Over 3.5 Goals79.5%

4+ Goals79.5%

Over 4.5 Goals65.4%

Under 5.5 Goals51.0%

Over 5.5 Goals49.0%

Total Goals Even48.0%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Under 4.5 Goals34.6%

2-4 Goals28.6%

3-4 Goals23.6%

Under 3.5 Goals20.5%

1-3 Goals16.2%

2-3 Goals14.5%

Under 2.5 Goals10.9%

Exactly 3 Goals9.6%

1-2 Goals6.6%

Under 1.5 Goals6.0%

Exactly 2 Goals4.9%

Under 0.5 Goals4.3%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score71.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.7%

Home Clean Sheet24.8%

Home Win to Nil24.5%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 0.571.1%

Away Over 1.537.6%

Away Exactly 133.6%

Away Exactly 024.8%

Away Exactly 222.7%

Away Over 2.514.9%

Away 3+ Goals14.9%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)83.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)83.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)72.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away72.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)71.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home71.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)57.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away57.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)55.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home55.3%

Home to win by 3+55.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)40.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away40.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)38.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home38.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)25.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away25.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)23.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home23.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 215.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)13.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away13.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home12.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.0%

Home to win by 112.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.6%

Away to win by 13.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.4%

Away to win by 21.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.578.8%

BTTS & Over 2.568.6%

Home & BTTS58.4%

Home & No BTTS24.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.520.5%

Draw & BTTS7.1%

Draw & Over 2.55.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Away & Over 2.55.0%

Away & BTTS4.8%

Home & Under 2.54.2%

Draw & Under 2.52.0%

BTTS & Under 2.51.7%

Away & No BTTS0.8%

Away & Under 2.50.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.8%

HT Over 1.573.9%

HT Home Win70.7%

HT/FT Home/Home67.7%

2nd Half More Goals51.0%

HT Both Teams Score39.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.526.1%

HT Draw19.2%

Equal Goals Each Half16.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.4%

HT Away Win10.1%

HT Under 0.57.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.7%

HT/FT Away/Away3.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.8%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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