Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Kick-off 16:00 · Fri, Oct 16

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

87% confidence

Al Riyadh 3.2% Draw 9.5% Al-Hilal Saudi FC 87.3%

Over 2.5 - 75% BTTS - 45%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

91%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 11.9%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Al-Hilal Saudi FC: 5 points versus 15 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.9%

Exact-score model probability

Al Riyadh

D L W D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:16 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.67

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

L W W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 17:5 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Riyadh win3.2%

Draw9.5%

Al-Hilal Saudi FC win87.3%

Over 1.5 goals90.9%

Over 2.5 goals75.2%

Over 3.5 goals55.2%

Both teams to score44.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

91.5%

Home or Away (12)

90.8%

Over 1.5 Goals

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away95.9%

Draw or Away (X2)95.6%

Home or Away (12)90.8%

Away Win87.1%

Both Halves Over 0.573.6%

Goal in Both Halves73.6%

Home or Draw (1X)12.1%

Draw8.4%

Exactly 1 Goal7.6%

Draw No Bet - Home4.1%

Home Win3.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals89.7%

Under 5.5 Goals80.1%

Over 2.5 Goals74.6%

Under 4.5 Goals64.7%

Over 3.5 Goals54.8%

4+ Goals54.8%

2-4 Goals54.4%

Total Goals Even49.7%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Under 3.5 Goals45.2%

1-3 Goals42.5%

3-4 Goals39.3%

Over 4.5 Goals35.3%

2-3 Goals34.9%

Under 2.5 Goals25.4%

1-2 Goals22.7%

Over 5.5 Goals19.9%

Exactly 3 Goals19.8%

Exactly 2 Goals15.1%

Under 1.5 Goals10.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)56.1%

Away Clean Sheet53.8%

Away Win to Nil51.8%

Home Team to Score45.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)43.9%

Home Clean Sheet3.6%

Home Win to Nil1.6%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.7%

Away Over 1.583.8%

Away Over 2.564.0%

Away 3+ Goals64.0%

Home Exactly 053.8%

Home Over 0.545.5%

Home Exactly 133.0%

Away Exactly 219.8%

Home Over 1.512.5%

Away Exactly 111.9%

Home Exactly 210.1%

Away Exactly 03.6%

Home Over 2.52.4%

Home 3+ Goals2.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away95.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)91.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)87.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)82.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home82.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)71.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away71.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home67.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)51.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away51.2%

Away to win by 3+51.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)48.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home48.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)31.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away31.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)27.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home27.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.2%

Away to win by 220.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw19.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)17.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away17.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.7%

Away to win by 115.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw14.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)12.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home12.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw9.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)7.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away7.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw2.9%

Home to win by 12.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.7%

Home to win by 20.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 3+0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.569.9%

Away & No BTTS51.8%

BTTS & Over 2.539.9%

Away & BTTS35.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.534.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.520.7%

Away & Under 2.517.2%

Draw & BTTS6.5%

Draw & Under 2.55.9%

BTTS & Under 2.54.0%

Draw & Over 2.52.5%

Home & Over 2.52.2%

Home & BTTS2.1%

Home & No BTTS1.6%

Home & Under 2.51.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.1%

HT Away Win68.8%

HT/FT Away/Away66.7%

HT Over 1.553.0%

2nd Half More Goals47.4%

HT Under 1.547.0%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw24.7%

Equal Goals Each Half20.5%

HT Both Teams Score18.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.4%

HT Under 0.516.9%

HT Home Win6.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away2.8%

HT/FT Home/Home1.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home1.5%

HT/FT Away/Home0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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