Saudi-Arabia · Pro League

Al Riyadh vs Al Kholood

Kick-off 19:00 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

37% confidence

Al Riyadh 32.9% Draw 30.0% Al Kholood 37.1%

Over 2.5 - 47% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Al Kholood: 5 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.7%

Exact-score model probability

Al Riyadh

D L W D L L

Form 1-2-3 Goals 6:16 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.67

Al Kholood

W D W D D D

Form 2-4-0 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Al Riyadh win32.9%

Draw30.0%

Al Kholood win37.1%

Over 1.5 goals73.9%

Over 2.5 goals46.9%

Over 3.5 goals25.3%

Both teams to score53.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

88.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

85.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

85.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)73.3%

Draw or Away (X2)65.5%

Home or Draw (1X)61.2%

Draw No Bet - Away52.9%

Both Halves Over 0.551.5%

Goal in Both Halves51.5%

Draw No Bet - Home47.1%

Away Win38.8%

Home Win34.5%

Draw26.7%

Exactly 1 Goal19.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.5%

Over 0.5 Goals92.2%

Under 4.5 Goals88.4%

Under 3.5 Goals74.7%

Over 1.5 Goals72.3%

1-3 Goals66.9%

2-4 Goals60.7%

Under 2.5 Goals53.1%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals46.9%

1-2 Goals45.3%

3-4 Goals35.3%

Under 1.5 Goals27.7%

Exactly 2 Goals25.4%

Over 3.5 Goals25.3%

4+ Goals25.3%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Over 4.5 Goals11.6%

Under 0.5 Goals7.8%

Exactly 0 Goals7.8%

Over 5.5 Goals4.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score73.3%

Home Team to Score70.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)51.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)48.1%

Away Clean Sheet29.2%

Home Clean Sheet26.7%

Away Win to Nil21.4%

Home Win to Nil18.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.573.3%

Home Over 0.570.8%

Away Over 1.538.0%

Home Exactly 136.0%

Away Exactly 135.3%

Home Over 1.534.8%

Home Exactly 029.2%

Away Exactly 026.7%

Away Exactly 223.3%

Home Exactly 222.1%

Away Over 2.514.8%

Away 3+ Goals14.8%

Home Over 2.512.7%

Home 3+ Goals12.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)61.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home61.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)38.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.3%

Away to win by 121.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.8%

Home to win by 119.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.3%

Away to win by 211.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.8%

Home to win by 29.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.2%

Away to win by 3+6.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.9%

Home to win by 3+4.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.540.4%

BTTS & Over 2.539.2%

Away & Over 2.521.7%

Away & No BTTS21.4%

Draw & Under 2.520.5%

Home & Over 2.519.0%

Home & No BTTS18.9%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

Away & BTTS17.4%

Away & Under 2.517.1%

Home & BTTS15.6%

Home & Under 2.515.5%

BTTS & Under 2.512.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.7%

Draw & Over 2.56.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.568.3%

HT Under 1.568.2%

HT Draw43.1%

2nd Half More Goals42.8%

HT Over 1.531.8%

HT Under 0.531.7%

1st Half More Goals30.8%

HT Away Win29.8%

HT Home Win27.2%

Equal Goals Each Half26.4%

HT/FT Away/Away22.7%

HT/FT Home/Home19.9%

HT Both Teams Score19.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Home1.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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